Takes graded
18–16
53% hit rate
Takes
84
across 5 episodes
Avg. gradeability
83%
Mostly checkable calls
Speaker attribution: average 97% confidence.
House’s takes
Graded so far: 18–16 (53%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026Ben Johnson wins NFL Coach of the Year
“I like that nine to one for Ben Johnson.”
90%The award winner is public record; this is an endorsement of the 9-1 price rather than a stated bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North finishes Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers
An exact-order NFC North bet he fired off during Lions-Panthers.
“I have the bears on top, the Vikings coming in second Detroit in third and green Bay and fourth.”
100%Final division standings settle the exact order.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The Patriots win the AFC East
Asking whether +210 for the Patriots to win the AFC East is the time to buy.
“I kind of like it man”
90%The division winner is black and white; this is a lean ('kind of like it') rather than a confirmed bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 2–2, 2nd in the AFC East, the AFC 7 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The Yankees and Brewers meet in the World Series
A roughly 12-1 preseason future; the Yankees trail the Rays 1-0.
“I have a Yankees brewers future that I'm kind of holding on to”
85%The World Series matchup is public record; the exact ticket type is inferred.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The Cowboys' defense plays well over the next three games
Dallas faces Washington, Green Bay and Philadelphia in that stretch, three offenses he calls dead.
“the Cowboys defense is going to look great these next three weeks”
45%"Look great" needs a proxy such as points allowed over the next three games.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026Bijan Robinson's longest rush goes over 16.5 yards
“My prop for that game is B. John Robinson over 16 and a half longest rush.”
100%The longest rush is listed in the public box score, and 17+ yards is a clear yes or no.
How it’s graded: Bijan Robinson's longest rush is 17+ yards in the first Falcons-Saints game played after Oct 5, 2026. Source: Official NFL box score (NFL.com or ESPN). Settles: Final whistle of that Falcons-Saints game.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Game isn’t final yet
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North finishes Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers.
House's exact-order bet: Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers at 9-1.
“I think that's the right order.”
100%Final division order is in the standings.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Texans beat Dallas by a field goal or so
“I think that they're going to win and I think they're going to win by”
100%A 2–5 point window stands in for "3 or 4" and "or so," and the final score settles it.
How it’s graded: Texans beat the Cowboys by 2 to 5 points (a field goal or so) in their 2026 regular-season matchup. Source: Official NFL final box score (NFL.com or ESPN). Settles: Final whistle of the 2026 Texans–Cowboys game.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Lost by 4
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Rams cover −3 against the Eagles.
Ringer 107, Week 4 pick.
“I have no problem whatsoever laying the three with the LA Rams going into Philadelphia”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 4
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Puka Nacua plays against the Eagles.
“Puka is back.”
95%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Puka Nacua is in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026DeVonta Smith misses the Eagles' game against the Rams.
“But there's some indication that Devontae Smith is possibly going to miss.”
70%The box score settles it, but 'possibly' is a heavy hedge.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: DeVonta Smith isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Rams line moves to −3.5 by game time.
“might be three and a half by game time”
75%The ESPN closing line settles it, but it's hedged and tied to DeVonta Smith's status.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Closed LAR -4.5
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Bengals cover −2.5 against the Jaguars.
Ringer 107, Week 4 pick.
“i'm gonna go ahead and take cincinnati at home laying only the two and a half against jacksonville”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 5
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 20266-point teaser: Seahawks −1 against the Chargers and Commanders +9.5 against the Colts.
Ringer 107, Week 4, his 6-point teaser.
“No, I'm going to back Washington getting nine and a half.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Alec Pierce misses the Colts' London game against Washington.
“because Pierce is going to be out again”
95%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Alec Pierce isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Jalen Daniels runs for more than 34.5 yards against the Packers.
“I have him over 34 and a half rushing yards.”
100%Box score rushing yards settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Jalen Daniels: 0 rushing yards
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Chiefs cover −4.5 against the Raiders.
Ringer 107, Week 4 pick.
“Going to go ahead and lay the four and a half with Kansas City.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Browns miss the playoffs
Answering the Netflix poll “Will the Browns make the playoffs?” (60% said no), Bill and House both side with no.
“I agree with no.”
100%The Browns make or miss the playoffs
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Clippers are bad this season.
“We know that the Clippers are going to”
55%'Suck' needs a proxy such as a losing record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Kings are bad this season.
“Kings are probably going to suck.”
50%A record has to stand in for 'suck'; hedged with 'probably'.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Pacers outperform expectations.
“I think the Pacers are still being slept on.”
40%'Slept on' needs a proxy, such as beating their win total.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Lakers are bad this season.
“I think the Lakers are going to suck”
55%A record or seed has to stand in for 'suck'.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026If their season goes sideways, the Wizards push AJ Dybantsa for Rookie of the Year.
“then the thing they're going to play for is to Bansett win rookie of the fucking year”
30%Conditional on Washington's season collapsing, with no clear test.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Jim Harbaugh leaves the Chargers on his own before he can be fired.
“Harbaugh, he will bail before the seat gets hot enough.”
35%Leaving before the seat gets hot is subjective and has no timeframe.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Bills can win the Super Bowl
“answer is yes.”
90%The Super Bowl winner is a matter of record
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Titans stay bad for about a decade after Vrabel's exit.
On Tennessee driving out Mike Vrabel.
“It'll probably be a full decade of a shit sandwich.”
25%Vague and far off; "shit sandwich" needs a proxy, such as losing records through about 2030.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Jayden Daniels comes back this season and plays well
“But I honestly think he will come back this season and play and be effective.”
70%His return is checkable; “effective” needs a stand-in
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Washington is going to be bad
“They're going to be bad.”
55%“Bad” needs a stand-in, e.g. a losing record
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Cardinals finish with the worst record in the NFL.
Preseason bet at better than 2-to-1.
“i bet both arizona and miami to have the worst record”
100%Final standings settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Dolphins finish with the worst record in the NFL.
Preseason bet at better than 2-to-1.
“i have the same bet”
100%Final standings settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Dolphins go 0–17.
Bill says the Dolphins are 10-to-1 to go 0–17.
“Bet it.”
95%Final record settles it; endorsing the bet rather than placing it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the AFC East (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Ravens cover −3.5 against the Cowboys.
Ringer 107, Week 3 pick.
“Ravens offense in a get right kind of moment here.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Jaguars cover −2.5 against the Patriots.
Ringer 107, Week 3 pick.
“I am all over the Jags.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 29
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 20266-point teaser: Buccaneers +7.5 against the Vikings and Titans +8.5 against the Giants.
Ringer 107, Week 3, his 6-point teaser.
“So I'm teasing them from one and a half up through the seven.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Giants don't win any game by more than 7 points the rest of the season.
“I'm just going to say I don't have the Giants winning by more than a touchdown against anybody for the rest of this entire season.”
90%Game margins over the rest of the season settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Bengals–Steelers game goes under 48.5.
Responding to Bill's Bengals–Steelers under 48.5 teaser leg.
“I bet the under in this game just on the number.”
92%Game total settles from the final score; the exact number he bet isn't stated, so it is graded at the 48.5 on the show.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: 57 total points
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The 49ers cover −8.5 against the Cardinals.
“I might end up playing San Francisco laying the 8.5”
80%Final score against the line settles it; "might" bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Won by 6
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Seahawks cover −6 against the Commanders.
Bet Sunday night when the line opened at Seattle −6; it is now 7.5.
“I bet it Sunday night as fast as I could with an amount of money that I'm uncomfortable with.”
95%Spread bet settles from the final score; the −6 is the opening number he says he bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Lost by 2
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Chiefs cover −10.5 against the Dolphins.
Ringer 107, Week 3 pick.
“Kansas City minus 10 and a half”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 14
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Texans end up being a good team this season.
“I just believe in Houston”
40%"Good" needs a proxy, such as a winning record or a playoff berth.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Kawhi Leonard sits out Toronto's game at the Clippers.
“Kawhi Leonard won't play in that basketball game.”
95%The box score from Toronto's game at the Clippers settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Anthony Davis signs an extension with the Wizards.
After news that Davis and the Wizards delayed extension talks.
“the extension will take care of itself”
65%An extension signing is a public record, but no timeframe is given.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Texans cover −2.5 against the Bengals.
Ringer 107, Week 2 pick.
“Nothing moved me off my priors with Houston.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 14
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Packers finish fourth in the NFC North.
A restated preseason bet.
“I had Green Bay finishing fourth in that division”
100%Official division standings give a clear yes or no on 4th place.
How it’s graded: Green Bay finishes 4th (last) in the NFC North in the final 2026 regular-season standings, with NFL tiebreakers applied. Source: NFL.com official final 2026 NFC North standings. Settles: End of the 2026 NFL regular season.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Packers miss the playoffs.
A restated preseason bet.
“I had Green Bay to miss the playoffs”
100%Final playoff field settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 2–2, 4th in the NFC North (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Packers finish under their preseason win total.
Restating his preseason futures against Green Bay.
“I had Green Bay way under their win total.”
80%Final wins settle it; the exact win-total number wasn't stated.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Broncos win 10 or 11 games.
Restating his preseason view against a 9.5 win total.
“now I only had them winning 10, 11 games most”
90%Final record settles a stated range.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 2–2, 3rd in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Broncos cover −2.5 against the Jaguars.
Ringer 107, Week 2 pick.
“So you're taking Broncos minus two and a half?”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 7
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Buccaneers beat the Browns (moneyline parlay leg).
Plans moneyline parlays built around Tampa, likely with the 49ers.
“I have to figure out the, the money line parlays that I'm going to put the bucks into”
100%The final score settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Lost by 4
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The 49ers beat the Dolphins (moneyline parlay leg).
A moneyline parlay leg alongside the Bucs.
“something like the, the Niners, uh, and, and, and the Bucs”
95%One game settles it; 'something like' hedges the leg slightly.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Won by 22
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 20266-point teaser: Eagles −1 against the Titans and Eagles–Titans under 45.5.
Ringer 107, Week 2, his 6-point teaser.
“I'm allowed to tease the Eagles from seven down to one.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Titans score fewer than 17 points against the Eagles.
“I don't see the Titans getting to 17 points in this game.”
100%Graded as: Titans finish with 16 or fewer points in their Week 2 2026 game against the Eagles.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: On Sept 20, 2026 the Eagles beat the Titans 24-20 in Nashville. Tennessee scored 20, above the 17-point threshold, after a late 33-yard field goal put them ahead 20-17.
- Graded by: ESPN ↗ Eagles 24-20 Titans (Sep 20, 2026) Final Score - ESPN · Sep 20, 2026
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Texans win the AFC South.
An existing futures bet.
“exposure to Houston to win their division”
100%Final standings settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the AFC South (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Bengals win the AFC North.
An existing futures bet.
“Cincinnati to win the AFC North”
100%Final standings settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 2–2, 4th in the AFC North (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Chargers miss the playoffs.
“thing to bet the Chargers is to miss the playoffs”
100%Final playoff field settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The 49ers win the NFC West.
An existing futures bet at about 3–1.
“I have the Niners already close to three to one”
95%Final standings settle it; the market is inferred from the division-odds discussion.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 4–0, 1st in the NFC West, the NFC 2 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Buccaneers win the NFC South.
Bucs at +150 for the NFC South.
“I'll just keep throwing money at Tampa”
100%Final standings settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the NFC South (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Buccaneers win at least 10 games.
“I think they're going to win 10 games”
100%Final record settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the NFC South (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Giants go on a winning run after the Rams game.
Next up after the Rams: Titans, Cardinals, at Washington, Saints.
“They're going to go on a run after that Rams game.”
55%'A run' needs a proxy, e.g. winning most of the Weeks 3–6 games.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Chiefs win at least 11 games.
Bet after Week 1.
“I bet them over 10 and a half wins”
100%Final record settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 4–0, 1st in the AFC West, the AFC 1 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Chiefs win the AFC West.
“but I bet them to win the division”
100%Final standings settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 4–0, 1st in the AFC West, the AFC 1 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Chiefs make the playoffs.
“I bet them to make the playoffs”
100%Final playoff field settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 4–0, 1st in the AFC West, the AFC 1 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The 49ers cover −13.5 against the Dolphins.
Ringer 107, Week 2 pick.
“It's San Francisco laying less than two touchdowns at home against Miami.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 22
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Patriots cover −4.5 against the Steelers.
Sunday-pick lean.
“It's a decent chance it's the Pats.”
75%Settles on the spread, but it's only a 'decent chance' lean.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Won by 17
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The 49ers win the NFC West.
A preseason future he restates after the win over the Rams.
“them to win this division”
100%Settles from the final NFC West standings.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 4–0, 1st in the NFC West, the NFC 2 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The 49ers face Drew Lock instead of Sam Darnold when they play Seattle.
“they might face Drew Locke”
55%Hedged with "might" and depends on Darnold's injury timeline.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026Sam Darnold misses more than one game.
“the question is whether it's going to be multiple… It seems likely.”
90%Games missed are on the public record; slightly hedged.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026Week 1 games mostly go under their totals.
Two underdogs and two unders in the first two games.
“It's an all -time under week.”
55%Needs a tally of overs and unders for Week 1; 'all-time' is vague.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Texans cover +1.5 against the Bills.
Ringer 107, Week 1 pick.
“the first pick here is the houston texans at home catching points from the buffalo Bills”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 5
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Texans have the best defense in the NFL this season.
“They're the best defense, in my opinion, even with the outstanding performance that we saw last night from the Seattle Seahawks.”
50%'Best defense' needs a stat proxy such as points or EPA allowed.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Bills again have one of the worst run defenses in the NFL.
Right after noting Buffalo had one of the league's worst run defenses last season.
“I kind of expect to see the same”
55%Needs a run-defense ranking (rush yards allowed) as a proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 20266-point teaser: Jaguars −2.5 against the Browns and Lions −0.5 against the Saints.
Ringer 107, Week 1, his 6-point teaser.
“So Lions winning outright at home against the New Orleans Saints as a teaser leg.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Cardinals get a lot of backdoor covers this season.
“they might be the kings of the back door this upcoming season with LeFleur”
30%'Kings of the back door' has no clean record to check.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Jets cover +1.5 against the Titans.
Ringer 107, Week 1 pick.
“And it is the New York Jets at the Tennessee Titans.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 13
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Jets run the ball effectively against the Titans.
“But I think they're going to be able to establish the run very quietly.”
45%"Establish the run" needs a rushing-yards proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Cowboys cover −2.5 against the Giants.
Ringer 107, Week 1 pick.
“This is a piggyback.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 8
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Eagles beat Washington
“Philadelphia Eagles at home beating Washington on the money line.”
100%The final score gives a clear win-or-not answer.
How it’s graded: The Philadelphia Eagles beat Washington outright in their 2026 Week 1 home game (moneyline; a tie or loss grades as a miss). Source: Official NFL final score (NFL.com or ESPN box score). Settles: Final whistle of the 2026 Week 1 PHI vs WSH game.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Won by 2
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Steelers beat the Falcons
“Pittsburgh Steelers at home beating the Atlanta Falcons at home.”
100%The final score shows a clear win or not.
How it’s graded: The Steelers win their 2026 Week 1 game against the Falcons. A tie or a Falcons win grades as a miss. Source: Official NFL final score (NFL.com or ESPN box score). Settles: Final whistle of the 2026 Week 1 Steelers-Falcons game.
Who said it (90%): House’s own moneyline parlay, Eagles and Steelers
Result: Won by 7
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Broncos cover +2.5 against the Chiefs.
His likely Sunday fifth pick; he says he'll play the posted number.
“that's who i'm i'm 96 there already with denver”
85%Settles from the final score; it is a leaning fifth pick.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Lost by 21
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Ravens–Colts game goes over 47.5.
“I mean, I like that over quite a bit also.”
85%Settles from the combined score; he likes it but stays out of the game.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: 64 total points
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026Daniel Jones struggles in his return from the Achilles injury against the Ravens.
“I'm very skeptical about Danny Dimes coming out and just, boom, slotting right in”
35%"Slotting right in" needs a passing-stat proxy and is phrased as skepticism.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Vikings beat their forecasted win total.
“I think Minnesota is going to be a slight tick better than their forecasted win total.”
70%Needs the preseason win total; 'slight tick' is vague.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Packers have a disappointing season.
“And I'm very pessimistic about Green Bay this season.”
40%Pessimism has no defined threshold; the win total could serve as a proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Chargers beat the Cardinals.
Chargers leg of his moneyline parlay (Steelers, Chargers, UCLA at +108 once Philly was dropped).
“If you add the Chargers and your UCLA Bruins, plus 192 on the FanDuel Sportsbook.”
100%Settles from the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Lost by 12
