NFL
Detroit Lions
Takes
17
from 4 people
Linked games
5
Games
NO 30@DET 31·Final/OT·Close DET -7→DET 31@
BUF 41·Final·Close BUF -5.5→
NYJ 24@DET 31·Final·Close DET -7→DET 26@
CAR 32·Final·Close DET -3.5→DET@
ARI·10/11 - 4:25 PM EDT·Close DET -4.5→Takes about the Lions
Graded so far: 3–2 (60%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North sends two teams to the playoffs.
“And I think the North will get two.”
100%The final standings give a public, yes-or-no count of NFC North playoff teams.
How it’s graded: Exactly two of CHI, MIN, DET and GB make the 2026 NFL playoffs, counting division winners and wild cards. Source: NFL.com final 2026 regular-season standings and playoff seeds. Settles: End of the 2026 NFL regular season.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North finishes Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers
An exact-order NFC North bet he fired off during Lions-Panthers.
“I have the bears on top, the Vikings coming in second Detroit in third and green Bay and fourth.”
100%Final division standings settle the exact order.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Lions are not a good team this season.
“You know why I went too low? Because I don't think the Lions are good.”
40%'Not good' needs a proxy, such as the Lions' final record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026Jacoby Brissett throws for 440 yards against the Lions.
“This is where Brissette goes for 440.”
90%The stat line settles it, though it's likely hyperbole.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Game isn’t final yet
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Cardinals cover +4.5 against the Lions.
Lions are 4.5-point favorites in Arizona.
“I like the cards in that game.”
95%Cover is black and white; stated as a lean.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Game isn’t final yet
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North finishes Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers.
House's exact-order bet: Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers at 9-1.
“I think that's the right order.”
100%Final division order is in the standings.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Lions–Panthers goes over 41.5 points.
A teaser idea he looked at but didn't play.
“being able to tease that down to 41 and a half on a Monday night”
75%Final score settles it, but this was a teaser leg he considered rather than bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: 58 total points
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026Tetairoa McMillan has a big receiving game against the Lions.
“he's going to have a lot more fun this week against the Detroit Lions”
75%Graded here as 75+ receiving yards ('big game').
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Tetairoa McMillan: 192 receiving yards
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Jahmyr Gibbs doesn't hold up under his current workload.
“I just don't see him holding up”
35%'Holding up' has no clear test; injury or a reduced workload would stand in.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Lions add a veteran running back by Monday's practice.
Gibbs had 56 touches in five days and the Lions' RB2 has three carries.
“by the time the Lions are back on the practice field Monday, they'll have another veteran back on the roster”
100%Graded as: Lions sign or trade for a RB with 1+ prior NFL regular-season game between Sept 17 and Sept 21, 2026.
How it’s graded: Lions sign or trade for a RB with 1+ prior NFL regular-season game (53-man or practice squad) between Sept 17 and Sept 21, 2026. Source: Lions official transactions and NFL transaction wire. Settles: End of day Monday, Sept 21, 2026.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: The Lions' transaction log shows only a DB (Jalen Mills) signed to the practice squad on 9/21 and no RB signing in the window. The Roydell Williams signing was Aug 24, and he is a rookie with no NFL games. Hunt was not signed.
- Graded by: Detroit Lions (official) ↗ Detroit Lions Transactions | Detroit Lions - DetroitLions.com
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The NFC North winner finishes better than 9–8.
Asked himself, “Could 9–8 win the NFC North?”
“I don't think so.”
90%The division winner's record settles it from final standings.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Lions' secondary struggles until injured players return.
“Their secondary is going to be really bad until they start getting guys back”
40%"Really bad" needs a proxy such as passing yards allowed, and the timeframe is open-ended.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026Josh Allen has a big game against the Lions.
Guess the Lines, Bills at Lions on Thursday night.
“this should be a really nice Josh Allen game”
50%"Really nice game" has no set threshold for a quarterback, so it needs a box-score proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 20266-point teaser: Jaguars −2.5 against the Browns and Lions −0.5 against the Saints.
Ringer 107, Week 1, his 6-point teaser.
“So Lions winning outright at home against the New Orleans Saints as a teaser leg.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Lions' defense gets torched by an opposing quarterback in one of Weeks 1–4.
“There's going to be a week in these first four weeks when they get absolutely torched by a QB.”
50%'Absolutely torched' needs a proxy, such as an opposing QB passing for 300+ yards in Weeks 1–4.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Lions blow out the Saints.
Lions −6.5 at home; he calls them a flashing neon sign for a teaser.
“This feels blowout -y to me.”
80%Graded here as a 10+ point Lions win; hedged with 'I don't know'.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 1
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Lions win the NFC North.
“I have the Lions.”
95%The division standings settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Currently 2–2, 3rd in the NFC North (as of 2026-10-05)
