NFL
Dallas Cowboys
Takes
38
from 8 people
Linked games
5
Games
DAL 20@
NYG 28·Final·Close DAL -3→
WSH 20@DAL 37·Final·Close DAL -4.5→
BAL 34@DAL 31·Final·Close BAL -3→DAL 34@
HOU 30·Final·Close HOU -3→
TB@DAL·10/8 - 8:15 PM EDT·Close DAL -8.5→Takes about the Cowboys
Graded so far: 4–9 (31%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The NFC East sends exactly one team to the playoffs.
“And then I still think there's one in the East.”
90%Number of NFC East playoff teams settles from final standings.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Cowboys are the NFC's fourth-best team, behind the three NFC West teams.
“And then maybe your team is fourth just because of how you can move the ball.”
30%Hedged with 'maybe', and 'fourth-best' has no clear record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026Trevor Lawrence (10-1) or Dak Prescott (14-1) wins MVP.
Sal read Allen +230 and Purdy +450 for MVP.
“the guys I would bet Lawrence at 10 -1 or Prescott at 14 -1”
75%MVP winner is public, but it's two players and framed as value.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Cowboys are 6-3 after their next five games.
Next five: Tampa, at Green Bay, at Philly, Arizona, at Indy.
“That feels like six and three.”
100%Exact record after a fixed game is a clear yes/no in public standings.
How it’s graded: The Cowboys' record is exactly 6-3 after their 9th game of 2026, the at-Indianapolis game that closes this five-game stretch. Source: NFL.com or ESPN 2026 standings and Cowboys schedule results. Settles: After the Cowboys' 9th game (at Indianapolis), 2026.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026A 9-8 record is enough to win the NFC East.
“I honestly still think nine and eight can win this division.”
100%The division winner's win total is a public number, so it is a clear yes or no.
How it’s graded: The 2026 NFC East champion finishes the regular season with 9 or fewer wins. Source: NFL.com final 2026 regular-season standings. Settles: End of the 2026 NFL regular season.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Cowboys finish ahead of the Eagles in the NFC East.
Both teams were +130 to win the NFC East.
“And I don't understand how anybody could watch those two teams today and think they should have the same odds.”
100%Final division order is a public yes-or-no record, though no automatic rule covers head-to-head finish.
How it’s graded: The Cowboys finish above the Eagles in the final 2026 NFC East standings, with NFL tiebreakers deciding any tie in record. Source: NFL.com final 2026 regular-season NFC East standings. Settles: End of the 2026 NFL regular season.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The Cowboys finish ahead of the Eagles in the NFC East
Asked which is likelier to get fixed: Philly's offense or Dallas's defense.
“I'm probably taking the defense.”
70%Standings settle it, but the take is framed as trusting a unit to improve.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Anthony Dabbundo)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The Cowboys win the NFC East
“I said they would win the tiebreaker and I, I I'll stand by that”
100%The division winner is on record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Currently 2–2, 3rd in the NFC East (as of 2026-10-05)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The Cowboys' defense plays well over the next three games
Dallas faces Washington, Green Bay and Philadelphia in that stretch, three offenses he calls dead.
“the Cowboys defense is going to look great these next three weeks”
45%"Look great" needs a proxy such as points allowed over the next three games.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Cowboys score at least 27 points against the Buccaneers.
Asked about the minimum the Cowboys score against the Bucs: '27?'
“Yeah, I think so.”
100%The official final score gives a clear yes or no; no automatic rule covers team points.
How it’s graded: The Cowboys score 27 or more points (official final, including overtime) in their next game against the Buccaneers after Oct 5, 2026. Source: Official NFL box score (NFL.com or ESPN). Settles: Final whistle of the next Cowboys-Buccaneers game.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Nico Collins plays for the Texans against the Cowboys.
“I assume he's back he's practiced today we won't know officially until tomorrow”
90%The box score shows whether he played; 'I assume' is a slight hedge.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Nico Collins is in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Joey Porter Jr. plays for the Cowboys against the Texans.
“they traded for joey porter this week and might actually throw him out there”
80%Settled by whether he plays, but hedged with 'might'.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Joey Porter Jr. isn’t in the box score; confirm by hand
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Texans cover −3 against the Cowboys.
Ringer 107, Week 4 pick.
“So anyway, Texans minus three is my first one.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 4
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Texans beat Dallas by a field goal or so
“I think that they're going to win and I think they're going to win by”
100%A 2–5 point window stands in for "3 or 4" and "or so," and the final score settles it.
How it’s graded: Texans beat the Cowboys by 2 to 5 points (a field goal or so) in their 2026 regular-season matchup. Source: Official NFL final box score (NFL.com or ESPN). Settles: Final whistle of the 2026 Texans–Cowboys game.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Lost by 4
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Texans beat the Cowboys.
Arguing the Texans won't start 0–4.
“with the amount of talent that they have And just because Nico Collins got hurt for two games, I can't buy it”
95%A moneyline lean on top of his spread pick, settled by the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 4
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Joey Porter Jr. gets a $30M-plus-per-year contract if he hits free agency.
“He's going to be a 30 -plus million -dollar corner”
60%Conditional on him reaching free agency, with no timeframe.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Joey Porter Jr. plays for the Cowboys this Sunday.
“maybe even as soon as this Sunday, his back's going to be healthy enough for him to play”
80%The box score shows whether he played; 'maybe' is a hedge.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Joey Porter Jr. isn’t in the box score; confirm by hand
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Cowboys aren't a contender this season, even with Porter.
“I don't think they have it regardless.”
40%'Have it' is vague; playoffs or record would stand in.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026The NFC East champion finishes 8–9
“The eight and nine NFC East champion.”
70%The division winner's record settles it, but it may be half a joke.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Anthony Dabbundo)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026Cowboys–Texans is a high-scoring game
He said he won't be betting the Houston under because Dallas has defensive injuries.
“So I think that game is going to be a lot of fun on Sunday”
45%'A lot of fun' needs a proxy; graded here as the game going over the total.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Anthony Dabbundo)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The NFC East winner finishes 10–7.
“it does feel like 10 -7 is going to take the NFC East”
85%The division winner's record settles it; 'feel like' hedges.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026If Nico Collins plays, the Texans–Cowboys line moves to Texans −3.
The line was Texans −2.5.
“I think if Nico plays, that goes to three.”
80%The closing line settles it, but only if Nico Collins plays.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Dallas trades for Joey Porter Jr.
“he's going to try to trade for Joey Porter Jr.”
75%A trade is checkable; “gonna try” is softer than “will”
Who said it (95%): Pelissero on Joey Porter Jr., citing Jerry Jones’ “old man with money” line
Result: Dallas traded for Porter the following week (Hello Cleveland, 01:05:21).
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Porter costs a 2nd-round pick
“Second would be my best guess.”
80%The trade price is public
Who said it (95%): Pelissero answers Bill’s “So what is it, a second?”
Result: Dallas gave up a 2028 2nd-round pick (Hello Cleveland, 01:06:43).
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Ravens cover −3.5 against the Cowboys.
Ringer 107, Week 3 pick.
“Ravens offense in a get right kind of moment here.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Ravens cover −3.5 against the Cowboys.
He stays off the Brazil game but would side with House.
“But if I did do it, I would have the Ravens.”
90%Final score against the line settles it; it's a lean, not a bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Cowboys win 11 or more games.
Restating his preseason Cowboys over 10.5 wins bet.
“So I'm not going to win my Cowboys over 10 and a half wins?”
100%Final win total settles the bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 2–2, 3rd in the NFC East (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Cowboys have a disappointing season.
“It's just going to be a dumb team again, I think.”
35%"Dumb team" needs a proxy such as missing the playoffs.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026Brandon Aubrey misses an extra point in the Brazil game against the Ravens.
“He's going to be missing extra points and shit.”
75%The box score shows any missed extra points; it's half a joke.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Cowboys win more than 10.5 games.
Regrettable futures; bet at +500.
“I'm putting Dallas over 10 and a half wins plus 500 in the front of the store”
100%Final standings settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 2–2, 3rd in the NFC East (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Cowboys beat Washington.
Cowboys −4.5 at home against Washington.
“I know I'm going to put them in a money line.”
95%The final score settles the moneyline leg.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 17
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Cowboys cover −2.5 against the Giants.
Ringer 107, Week 1 pick.
“Cowboys Sunday night minus two and a half against the Giants.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 8
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Cowboys cover −2.5 against the Giants.
Ringer 107, Week 1 pick.
“This is a piggyback.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 8
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Cowboys win 10 or more games.
“I think that's going to happen, especially with the schedule they have.”
85%Win total settles from standings; it is tied to a defensive condition.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 2–2, 3rd in the NFC East (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026The Cowboys blow out the Giants.
“The Giants are going to get their ass kicked.”
85%Graded here as a 10+ point Cowboys win; the opponent is inferred from the Sunday night talk.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Craig Horlbeck)
Result: Lost by 8
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026The Giants lose to the Cowboys on Sunday night
“Their Giants are going to lose.”
95%The Giants win or lose against Dallas on Sunday night
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Won by 8
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Cowboys win 11 or more games.
Futures draft, +500.
“I don't like your attitude so I'm going to take Cowboys over 10 and a half”
100%The final win total settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 2–2, 3rd in the NFC East (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 3, 2026The Cowboys are a sleeper and turn out really good.
“So they're going to be really good men.”
45%'Really good' needs a proxy, such as a playoff berth.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Charles Barkley)
