NFL · Oct 4, 2026 · Final
Closing line: KC -3.5Box score on ESPN ↗
Takes about this game
Graded so far: 2–2 (50%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Chiefs cover −4.5 against the Raiders.
Ringer 107, Week 4 pick.
“Going to go ahead and lay the four and a half with Kansas City.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Chiefs beat the Raiders in Las Vegas.
“Let's lay the smack down in Vegas.”
85%The final score settles it, but it's framed as the Chiefs' mindset rather than a pick.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Raiders beat the Chiefs (moneyline bet).
Chiefs −4.5 at the Raiders.
“I'm going to just bet the money line.”
100%Moneyline bet; settles from the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Chiefs beat the Raiders.
Leg of a moneyline parlay.
“and Chiefs.”
95%Settles from the final score; the parlay was tentative.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Won by 3