NFL · Oct 4, 2026 · Final
Closing line: GB -2.5Box score on ESPN ↗
Takes about this game
Graded so far: 3–2 (60%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Bucs–Packers is close; Tampa covers and might win
“I am going to take the Tampa Bay Bucks yet again, plus three and a half against Green Bay.”
95%Covering +3.5 is checkable; “maybe even win” is a hedge
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Buccaneers cover +3.5 against the Packers.
Ringer 107, Week 4 pick.
“going to take the Tampa Bay Bucks yet”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Buccaneers beat the Packers outright.
“I think Tampa can cover this and maybe even win”
75%Settled by the final score, but 'maybe' is a hedge.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Jalen Daniels runs for more than 34.5 yards against the Packers.
“I have him over 34 and a half rushing yards.”
100%Box score rushing yards settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Jalen Daniels: 0 rushing yards
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026Baker Mayfield doesn't play against the Packers.
Baker Mayfield dislocated his thumb late in Week 3.
“He's not playing.”
85%The box score shows whether Mayfield played; the quick self-hedge lowers it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Baker Mayfield isn’t in the box score