NFL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Takes
37
from 4 people
Linked games
5
Games
TB 27@
CIN 33·Final·Close CIN -3.5→
CLE 23@TB 19·Final·Close TB -8.5→
MIN 23@TB 16·Final·Close TB -1.5→
GB 17@TB 14·Final·Close GB -2.5→TB@
DAL·10/8 - 8:15 PM EDT·Close DAL -8.5→Takes about the Buccaneers
Graded so far: 4–11 (27%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The Buccaneers start covering spreads again soon
The Bucs are one of the best 0-4 teams by DVOA and haven't covered in 14 straight.
“At some point the market has to catch up.”
40%There is no timeframe; ATS record is the proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Raheem Palmer)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Packers and Buccaneers are both bad teams this season.
“But my big takeaway was both of these teams suck.”
40%'Suck' needs a proxy, such as each team's final record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Cowboys score at least 27 points against the Buccaneers.
Asked about the minimum the Cowboys score against the Bucs: '27?'
“Yeah, I think so.”
100%The official final score gives a clear yes or no; no automatic rule covers team points.
How it’s graded: The Cowboys score 27 or more points (official final, including overtime) in their next game against the Buccaneers after Oct 5, 2026. Source: Official NFL box score (NFL.com or ESPN). Settles: Final whistle of the next Cowboys-Buccaneers game.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Bucs–Packers is close; Tampa covers and might win
“I am going to take the Tampa Bay Bucks yet again, plus three and a half against Green Bay.”
95%Covering +3.5 is checkable; “maybe even win” is a hedge
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Buccaneers cover +3.5 against the Packers.
Ringer 107, Week 4 pick.
“going to take the Tampa Bay Bucks yet”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Buccaneers beat the Packers outright.
“I think Tampa can cover this and maybe even win”
75%Settled by the final score, but 'maybe' is a hedge.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Jalen Daniels runs for more than 34.5 yards against the Packers.
“I have him over 34 and a half rushing yards.”
100%Box score rushing yards settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Jalen Daniels: 0 rushing yards
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026The coach of whichever team loses Bucs–Packers is the first NFL coach fired this season
“whoever loses that Bucs -Packers game, they might be the first coach fired”
65%Conditional on the loser, and hedged with 'might'; the first firing is public record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Raheem Palmer)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026Todd Bowles is not fired by the Buccaneers the day after the game.
Bill floated that Todd Bowles could be fired the next day.
“he's not getting fired tomorrow”
85%A firing the next day is public record; 'tomorrow' is a little loose.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The NFC South winner finishes 7–10.
Restated preseason call; asked to drop it to 6–11, Sal said 'Maybe soon.'
“You predicted that they would go four 7 -10 teams and 7 -10 with the division”
90%The division winner's record settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026Baker Mayfield doesn't play against the Packers.
Baker Mayfield dislocated his thumb late in Week 3.
“He's not playing.”
85%The box score shows whether Mayfield played; the quick self-hedge lowers it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Baker Mayfield isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Todd Bowles is fired after this game if the Bucs lose.
“Todd Bowles will probably get fired after this game if they lose.”
70%Conditional on a loss and hedged with "probably"; firing is public record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Condition met (Lost by 7); grade the rest by hand
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Baker Mayfield plays himself out of the league.
“He's going to play himself out of the league.”
30%No timeframe; hard to say what counts as playing himself out.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026If the Bucs lose to the Vikings, they finish around 4–13.
“And if the Bucs can't win this game, they're going to go like 4 -13.”
70%Conditional on a loss; "like 4–13" is approximate, final record settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 20266-point teaser: Buccaneers +7.5 against the Vikings and Titans +8.5 against the Giants.
Ringer 107, Week 3, his 6-point teaser.
“So I'm teasing them from one and a half up through the seven.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Buccaneers cover +1.5 against the Vikings.
Ringer 107, Week 3 pick.
“I don't know if that's going to happen here, but I mean, if you can't be Kyler Murray in the fucking Tampa heat and an offense that can't run the ball and.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 7
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Buccaneers win the NFC South.
Restated preseason futures on Tampa Bay.
“Not only did I bet them the last two weeks, I had futures on them.”
75%Read as an NFC South futures bet from Sal's remark; the exact future isn't named.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the NFC South (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The NFC South winner finishes 7–10.
Restating Sal's preseason call on the NFC South.
“7 -10 is going to win this division.”
90%The division winner's final record settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 20266-point teaser: Buccaneers −2.5 against the Browns and Jaguars +8.5 against the Broncos.
Ringer 107, Week 2, his 6-point teaser.
“And if he's going to beat my tease of bucks down to minus two and a half with Jags plus eight and a half, God bless him.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Buccaneers beat the Browns (moneyline parlay leg).
Plans moneyline parlays built around Tampa, likely with the 49ers.
“I have to figure out the, the money line parlays that I'm going to put the bucks into”
100%The final score settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Lost by 4
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Buccaneers win the NFC South.
“Tampa's still plus 150 for the NFC South, which to me seems like a steal”
75%The division winner is in the final standings; framed as value, not a firm call.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the NFC South (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Buccaneers win the NFC South.
Bucs at +150 for the NFC South.
“I'll just keep throwing money at Tampa”
100%Final standings settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the NFC South (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Buccaneers win at least 10 games.
“I think they're going to win 10 games”
100%Final record settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the NFC South (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 15, 2026The Buccaneers are better and the Bengals worse than their Week 1 game showed
Naming Bengals-Bucs as a Week 1 'liar liar' candidate.
“I think Tampa's better than that game and Cincinnati's worse”
40%'Better' and 'worse' than one game need a proxy such as final records.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Buccaneers are a better team than the Bengals this season.
After the Bengals beat Tampa despite the Bucs never punting.
“I think Tampa's a little better.”
30%"A little better" needs a proxy such as final records.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The NFC South winner finishes 7–10 or worse.
Restated preseason call after the NFC South went 0-4.
“predicted that the winner would go 7 -10 and I think I was just a little bit generous there”
85%The division winner's record settles it; he now says it could go as low as 6-11 or 4-13.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Buccaneers cover a teased −1.5 against the Browns.
Teaser idea: Bucs −7.5 teased six points.
“That is looking teaser -ish.”
70%Settles against the teased line, but it's a lean, not a placed bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Lost by 4
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Browns lose to the Buccaneers.
Betting against Deshaun Watson.
“I'm going to have multiple bets.”
90%The final score settles it; the exact bets aren't specified.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 4
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Bucs–Browns line moves to Buccaneers −9.5.
The line was 7.5 when he said it.
“This line will be nine and a half in two days.”
85%Closing line at 9.5+ (the stated 'two days' is graded at close).
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Closed TB -8.5
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Buccaneers beat the Bengals outright.
A moneyline lean on top of his Bucs +3.5 pick (Bucs +168).
“I like the money line, too, in this game house.”
95%A moneyline lean; settles from the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 6
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Buccaneers cover +3.5 against the Bengals.
Ringer 107, Week 1 pick.
“But for the purposes of our contest, I would go Bucs plus three and a half.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 6
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Buccaneers win 9 or more games.
Restating his over-unders pick on Tampa over 8.5 wins.
“I'm in on Tampa”
100%The standings settle a 9-win threshold.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the NFC South (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Buccaneers cover +3.5 at Cincinnati.
Bengals −3.5 at home.
“I just like this spot for them.”
85%He calls Tampa a live dog, so it settles on the spread.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 6
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Tampa wins the NFC South (+175)
“Now, Tampa, to win the NFC South, plus 175.”
100%Settles automatically from the final regular-season standings
How it’s graded: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers finish first in their division in the final 2026 regular-season standings (tiebreakers included). Source: ESPN final regular-season standings (saved in data/standings.js). Settles: After the 2026 regular season ends (Week 18).
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the NFC South (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Baker Mayfield throws for 4,000+ yards.
Futures draft, +340.
“Baker Mayfield, 4,000 -plus passing yards plus 340.”
100%Season passing yards settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Texans and Seahawks each win 10+ games and the Buccaneers win 9+.
Futures draft parlay with Tampa over 8.5.
“Houston and Seattle over nine and a half wins each.”
100%The standings settle all three win totals.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Emeka Egbuka gets 1,000+ receiving yards.
Futures draft, +150.
“Did we do a Bucca 1,000 yards at plus 150 yet”
100%Season receiving yards settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
