NFL
Minnesota Vikings
Takes
23
from 4 people
Linked games
5
Games
GB 22@MIN 39·Final·Close MIN -2.5→MIN 9@
CHI 3·Final·Close CHI -4.5→MIN 23@
TB 16·Final·Close TB -1.5→
MIA 10@MIN 15·Final·Close MIN -10→MIN@
NO·10/11 - 1:00 PM EDT·Close MIN -1.5→Takes about the Vikings
Graded so far: 5–2 (71%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Vikings make the playoffs.
Filling the seventh NFC playoff spot from Philly, Detroit and Minnesota.
“So I guess it would be Minnesota, but I don't feel good about Minnesota.”
75%Settles from final standings, but hedged with 'I guess' and 'I don't feel good'.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 4–0, 1st in the NFC North, the NFC 1 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North sends two teams to the playoffs.
“And I think the North will get two.”
100%The final standings give a public, yes-or-no count of NFC North playoff teams.
How it’s graded: Exactly two of CHI, MIN, DET and GB make the 2026 NFL playoffs, counting division winners and wild cards. Source: NFL.com final 2026 regular-season standings and playoff seeds. Settles: End of the 2026 NFL regular season.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Vikings go about 14-3.
“I guess we're just going to have to get used to them going like 14 -3”
70%Win total settles it; 'like 14-3' is read here as 13-15 wins, and the tone is half sarcastic.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Currently 4–0, 1st in the NFC North, the NFC 1 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Vikings go about 13-4.
He adds that he can't wait to bet against them in round one.
“now they're probably going to go 13 and four”
85%Graded here as 13+ wins; "probably" hedges it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 4–0, 1st in the NFC North, the NFC 1 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Vikings lose their first playoff game.
“we will not be able to wait to bet against them in round one”
65%Their first playoff game settles it, but only if they make the playoffs.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North finishes Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers
An exact-order NFC North bet he fired off during Lions-Panthers.
“I have the bears on top, the Vikings coming in second Detroit in third and green Bay and fourth.”
100%Final division standings settle the exact order.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North finishes Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers.
House's exact-order bet: Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers at 9-1.
“I think that's the right order.”
100%Final division order is in the standings.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Vikings are a good team this season.
Reversing his earlier call that the Vikings would struggle.
“Like, they're going to be good.”
45%'Good' needs a proxy such as a winning record or a playoff berth.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Ravens, Seahawks and Vikings all cover in a 10-point teaser.
Ten-point teaser idea off Ravens −11.5, Seahawks −6.5 and Vikings −9.5; Bill then bans Kyler Murray from teasers.
“And the one you're about to say could be the third.”
75%Each leg grades from the scores, but it's a teaser idea, not a confirmed bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Vikings beat the Dolphins by 10 or more.
Brian Flores, now Minnesota's DC, is suing the Dolphins.
“Oh, Flores is going to crush”
90%Graded here as a 10+ point win.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Won by 5
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Vikings beat the Dolphins.
Moneyline parlay leg alongside Lynx Game 2 and the Chiefs.
“Vikings”
100%A straight-up result settles it from the box score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Won by 5
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Todd Bowles is fired after this game if the Bucs lose.
“Todd Bowles will probably get fired after this game if they lose.”
70%Conditional on a loss and hedged with "probably"; firing is public record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Condition met (Lost by 7); grade the rest by hand
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026If the Bucs lose to the Vikings, they finish around 4–13.
“And if the Bucs can't win this game, they're going to go like 4 -13.”
70%Conditional on a loss; "like 4–13" is approximate, final record settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 20266-point teaser: Buccaneers +7.5 against the Vikings and Titans +8.5 against the Giants.
Ringer 107, Week 3, his 6-point teaser.
“So I'm teasing them from one and a half up through the seven.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Buccaneers cover +1.5 against the Vikings.
Ringer 107, Week 3 pick.
“I don't know if that's going to happen here, but I mean, if you can't be Kyler Murray in the fucking Tampa heat and an offense that can't run the ball and.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 7
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The NFC North winner finishes better than 9–8.
Asked himself, “Could 9–8 win the NFC North?”
“I don't think so.”
90%The division winner's record settles it from final standings.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Kyler Murray doesn't play against the Bears.
“I don't think he plays on Sunday for a variety of different reasons”
100%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Kyler Murray isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Kyler Murray is back in the Vikings' lineup in Week 3.
“I fully anticipate he's back in the lineup probably week three”
100%Graded as: Kyler Murray plays at least one offensive snap for the Vikings in their 2026 Week 3 game.
How it’s graded: Kyler Murray plays at least one offensive snap for the Vikings in their 2026 Week 3 game. Source: Vikings Week 3 box score and snap counts (ESPN/PFR). Settles: End of the Vikings' 2026 Week 3 game.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Murray cleared concussion protocol Sept. 21 and started Week 3 at Tampa Bay (W 23-16), going 15/29 for 168 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT.
- Graded by: Minnesota Vikings (vikings.com) ↗ Kyler Murray (QB): Bio, News, Stats & more
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026Kyler Murray doesn't play against the Bears in Week 2.
“Yeah, we won't see him.”
100%Week 2 box score settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Kyler Murray isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Bears beat the Vikings and the game goes over the total.
Guess the Lines, Vikings at Bears (line Bears −5.5).
“To me, if you're going to do the money line with them, you do it with the over.”
55%The box score settles it, but the lean is conditional and no total was stated.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Vikings beat their forecasted win total.
“I think Minnesota is going to be a slight tick better than their forecasted win total.”
70%Needs the preseason win total; 'slight tick' is vague.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Vikings finish 4th in the NFC North (+175)
“okay Vikings fourth in the NFC North plus 175 is off the board.”
100%Final division standings give a clear yes or no; no automatic rule covers 4th place.
How it’s graded: The Vikings finish 4th (last) in the final 2026 NFC North regular-season standings, with NFL tiebreakers applied. Source: NFL.com official final 2026 division standings. Settles: End of the 2026 NFL regular season.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Chargers win more games than the Vikings (−130)
“Chargers more wins than the Vikings.”
100%Final win totals
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
