NFL
Washington Commanders
Takes
34
from 7 people
Linked games
5
Games
WSH 22@
PHI 24·Final·Close PHI -6→WSH 20@
DAL 37·Final·Close DAL -4.5→
SEA 31@WSH 33·Final·Close SEA -8.5→
IND 30@WSH 13·Final·Close IND -4.5→
NYG@WSH·10/11 - 1:00 PM EDT·Close WSH -3→Takes about the Commanders
Graded so far: 5–6 (45%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The Giants cover +3.5 against Washington
Washington is coming back from London, possibly without Jayden Daniels.
“Giants plus three and a half take it down”
100%The game result settles the cover.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Raheem Palmer)
Result: Game isn’t final yet
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The Colts and Commanders go under their team totals after returning from London
“if you want to play those other teams on the team total under, I think you'll find yourself in a good spot as well”
70%Box scores settle it, but no totals were named and it is two games.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Raheem Palmer)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 20266-point teaser: Seahawks −1 against the Chargers and Commanders +9.5 against the Colts.
Ringer 107, Week 4, his 6-point teaser.
“No, I'm going to back Washington getting nine and a half.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Alec Pierce misses the Colts' London game against Washington.
“because Pierce is going to be out again”
95%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Alec Pierce isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Jayden Daniels doesn't play in Week 4.
“I would say it's a long shot that he plays this week”
95%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Jayden Daniels isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Jayden Daniels plays in Week 5.
“bodes pretty well for him being back on the field in week five”
85%The Week 5 box score settles it; 'bodes well' is a hedge.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Game isn’t final yet
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Jayden Daniels has elbow surgery after the season.
“he's probably going to have surgery”
70%A surgery report would settle it; hedged with 'probably'.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Washington is a relevant team in the NFC East race.
Restating his preseason take.
“I thought Washington was kind of a sneaky team that could be relevant.”
40%'Relevant' needs a proxy such as playoff contention.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026The NFC East champion finishes 8–9
“The eight and nine NFC East champion.”
70%The division winner's record settles it, but it may be half a joke.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Anthony Dabbundo)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026The Commanders cover +3.5 against the Colts
“Commanders plus three and a half.”
100%The box score against +3.5 settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Lost by 17
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026Colts–Commanders is a shootout
“it just feels like this has shootout written all of it all over it”
60%'Shootout' needs a proxy; graded as going over the 47 total, and he hedged on the weather.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Raheem Palmer)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The NFC East winner finishes 10–7.
“it does feel like 10 -7 is going to take the NFC East”
85%The division winner's record settles it; 'feel like' hedges.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Jayden Daniels comes back this season and plays well
“But I honestly think he will come back this season and play and be effective.”
70%His return is checkable; “effective” needs a stand-in
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Washington is going to be bad
“They're going to be bad.”
55%“Bad” needs a stand-in, e.g. a losing record
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Jayden Daniels misses the Commanders' upcoming game against the Giants.
“You got Tennessee at home, Arizona at home, and Washington when Jaden Daniels is probably still not back.”
80%Whether Daniels plays in that game is public; hedged with "probably".
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 20266-point teaser: Seahawks −1.5 against the Commanders and Bengals–Steelers under 48.5.
Ringer 107, Week 3, his 6-point teaser.
“the only thing I knew was that Seahawks Washington was going to be one of my legs.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Seahawks beat the Commanders.
Moneyline lean behind his Seahawks −1.5 teaser leg.
“I can't imagine Mariota is going to beat the Seahawks.”
95%Straight-up result settles from the box score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 2
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Seahawks cover −6 against the Commanders.
Bet Sunday night when the line opened at Seattle −6; it is now 7.5.
“I bet it Sunday night as fast as I could with an amount of money that I'm uncomfortable with.”
95%Spread bet settles from the final score; the −6 is the opening number he says he bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Lost by 2
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026Jayden Daniels is out for the season.
“Daniels is the only one who seems like he might be gone gone”
70%Checkable if Daniels misses the rest of the season, but hedged with "seems like" and "might".
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026Washington misses the playoffs.
“Washington, 0 -2, the season's over.”
90%Final standings settle it; "season's over" is read as missing the playoffs.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 1–3, 4th in the NFC East (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026Washington contends for the No. 1 pick.
“They might be in the hunt for the number one pick.”
45%"In the hunt" is vague; it needs a proxy such as a top-three draft slot.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026Marcus Mariota starts about eight games for Washington.
“it's another eight game starting stretch for Marcus Mariotta”
70%Mariota's starts count is public; "eight" is approximate.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Seahawks beat Washington (a teaser leg from −6.5).
Guess the Lines: Seahawks −6.5 at Washington, teased 6 points.
“a teaser game”
85%Teaser leg grades cleanly, but it's a 'probably' idea rather than a placed bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Commanders and Falcons both win fewer than 8.5 games.
Bet at +112; he says there's no chance either team wins nine.
“I had Washington, Atlanta, under 8.5 wins for plus 112”
100%Final win totals settle both legs.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026Neither Washington nor Atlanta wins 9 games
“it's like, there's no chance either of those teams”
95%Both teams’ final win totals
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Commanders are bad this season.
“Washington's going to be bad”
50%'Bad' needs a record proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Cowboys beat Washington.
Cowboys −4.5 at home against Washington.
“I know I'm going to put them in a money line.”
95%The final score settles the moneyline leg.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 17
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Eagles beat Washington
“Philadelphia Eagles at home beating Washington on the money line.”
100%The final score gives a clear win-or-not answer.
How it’s graded: The Philadelphia Eagles beat Washington outright in their 2026 Week 1 home game (moneyline; a tie or loss grades as a miss). Source: Official NFL final score (NFL.com or ESPN box score). Settles: Final whistle of the 2026 Week 1 PHI vs WSH game.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Won by 2
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 8, 2026The Commanders are really bad this season.
“And I, and that team, I expect to be really bad.”
55%'Really bad' needs a proxy such as a losing record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Nick Wright)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 8, 2026Jayden Daniels misses games to injury again.
“I don't think he can hold”
45%Graded as: Daniels misses at least one regular-season game to injury in 2026, after missing 10 games in 2025.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Nick Wright)
Result: Daniels dislocated his left elbow in Week 2 (Sept. 20, 2026) at Dallas. He was ruled out for Week 3 vs. Seattle, with Mariota starting, and his Week 4 status was still undecided on Sept. 30.
- Graded by: Bleacher Report ↗ Jayden Daniels Injury Update, New Timeline Revealed by Commanders GM After Elbow Dislocation · Sep 25, 2026
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 8, 2026The Commanders go under their win total.
Recapping his Washington bets from the futures draft with Sal.
“Unders, adjusted unders”
65%Settles from the standings, but the win-total number isn't stated.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Eagles cover −5.5 against Washington
“So many times you're getting two free points.”
85%Graded as the Eagles covering −5.5
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Won by 2
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Washington and Atlanta both go under 8.5 wins (+112)
“both under eight and”
100%Both teams’ final win totals
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Washington wins 5 or fewer games.
Futures draft, +220.
“I'm going to do Washington under five and a half wins plus 220.”
100%The final win total settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 1–3, 4th in the NFC East (as of 2026-10-05)
