NFL
Chicago Bears
Takes
31
from 5 people
Linked games
5
Games
CHI 59@
CAR 37·Final·Close CHI -3→
MIN 9@CHI 3·Final·Close CHI -4.5→
PHI 7@CHI 27·Final·Close PHI -3→
NYJ 12@CHI 23·Final·Close CHI -3.5→CHI@
GB·10/11 - 1:00 PM EDT·Close CHI -3→Takes about the Bears
Graded so far: 7–1 (88%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Bears win at least 10 games.
Filling out the seven NFC playoff spots.
“it just seems like he's going to scotch tape and duct tape them to 10 games”
85%Win total checks from standings; "seems like" hedges it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 3–1, 2nd in the NFC North, the NFC 5 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North sends two teams to the playoffs.
“And I think the North will get two.”
100%The final standings give a public, yes-or-no count of NFC North playoff teams.
How it’s graded: Exactly two of CHI, MIN, DET and GB make the 2026 NFL playoffs, counting division winners and wild cards. Source: NFL.com final 2026 regular-season standings and playoff seeds. Settles: End of the 2026 NFL regular season.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026Ben Johnson wins NFL Coach of the Year
“he's got this thing locked up at this point in time”
95%The award winner is public record; it is only lightly hedged.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Raheem Palmer)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The Bears are a serious NFC contender
“you got to be scared of the Bears and the NFC at this point”
30%"Scared of" is vague; a deep playoff run would be the only proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Raheem Palmer)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026Ben Johnson wins NFL Coach of the Year
“I like that nine to one for Ben Johnson.”
90%The award winner is public record; this is an endorsement of the 9-1 price rather than a stated bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North finishes Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers
An exact-order NFC North bet he fired off during Lions-Panthers.
“I have the bears on top, the Vikings coming in second Detroit in third and green Bay and fourth.”
100%Final division standings settle the exact order.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026Caleb Williams plays against the Packers.
“I feel like Caleb will be back for this game”
100%Whether he took a snap is a plain yes or no in the public box score.
How it’s graded: Caleb Williams takes at least one offensive snap in the Bears' next game vs. the Packers after 2026-10-05. Source: Official NFL box score / gamebook snap counts. Settles: Final whistle of the next 2026 Bears-Packers game.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Game isn’t final yet
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Bears cover −2.5 at Green Bay.
Bears are 2.5-point favorites at Green Bay.
“I can guarantee you I'm taking the Bears for Ring of 107.”
100%Cover at the stated line is black and white.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Game isn’t final yet
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North finishes Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers.
House's exact-order bet: Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers at 9-1.
“I think that's the right order.”
100%Final division order is in the standings.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Patriots win at least one of their road games at Chicago and Miami.
“at Chicago at Miami they'll at least split those”
90%The two game results settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026The Bears cover −3 against the Jets
“I feel like I gotta make a preemptive move on Chicago.”
100%The box score against −3 settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Raheem Palmer)
Result: Won by 11
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026The Bears line moves above 3 against the Jets
“I think this goes up if I'm wrong.”
90%The closing line settles it; graded as Chicago −3.5 or more.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Raheem Palmer)
Result: Closed CHI -3.5
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Caleb Williams sits on Monday night
“It's unlikely that he plays Monday night.”
80%Whether he started Monday night is a matter of record
Who said it (95%): Pelissero, who broke the Caleb Williams injury news
Result: Case Keenum started Monday night against the Eagles (Hello Cleveland, 00:04:33).
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Caleb Williams returns within the next couple of weeks.
“But I expect him to be back in the next couple of weeks here.”
80%Games played settle it; "couple of weeks" is loose.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Case Keenum starts at quarterback for the Bears this week against the Eagles.
“they're going to have Case Keenum this week, probably”
85%The Bears' starter is public record, but the call is hedged with "probably".
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026Caleb Williams plays again this season.
Said after Caleb Williams's hamstring injury.
“i know he's not done for the year”
85%Checkable by whether he plays again this season.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026Caleb Williams doesn't play against the Eagles.
Week 3 Monday night preview, Eagles at Bears.
“No Caleb Williams.”
100%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Caleb Williams isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Eagles beat the Bears to go 3–0.
“Yeah, the Eagles can be 3 -0 with the flimsiest 3 -0 of all time.”
80%The final score settles it; "can be" hedges it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 20
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The NFC North winner finishes better than 9–8.
Asked himself, “Could 9–8 win the NFC North?”
“I don't think so.”
90%The division winner's record settles it from final standings.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Bears win the NFC North.
“I guess you'd say the Bears until proven otherwise”
80%Final standings settle it; he first says there's no clear favorite.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Currently 3–1, 2nd in the NFC North, the NFC 5 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Kyler Murray doesn't play against the Bears.
“I don't think he plays on Sunday for a variety of different reasons”
100%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Kyler Murray isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026Caleb Williams throws for more yards than Matthew Stafford this season.
Explaining why his Stafford most-passing-yards future looks bad.
“I think Caleb Williams is just going to go nuts with this one”
70%Season passing-yard totals compare the two, but "go nuts" is loose.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026Caleb Williams throws for 4,000+ yards
“He'll get that by week three.”
100%Season passing yards are a public stat with a clear numeric threshold.
How it’s graded: Caleb Williams finishes the 2026 NFL regular season with 4,000 or more passing yards. Source: Pro Football Reference or ESPN season passing stats. Settles: End of the 2026 regular season.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Bears win the NFC North.
“They might be the best NFC North team even though they can't stop anybody.”
75%Division standings settle it; 'might' hedges.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 3–1, 2nd in the NFC North, the NFC 5 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Bears play the most exciting, high-scoring games in the NFC North.
“they're going to be the most exciting NFC North team for sure”
20%"Most exciting" is taste; combined points per game is only a rough proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Bears break the single-season points record.
Ben Johnson wants the points record; the Bears need 34 a game.
“I mean, that's doable.”
75%Season points total against the record (606); 'doable' hedges.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026Kyler Murray doesn't play against the Bears in Week 2.
“Yeah, we won't see him.”
100%Week 2 box score settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Kyler Murray isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Bears beat the Vikings and the game goes over the total.
Guess the Lines, Vikings at Bears (line Bears −5.5).
“To me, if you're going to do the money line with them, you do it with the over.”
55%The box score settles it, but the lean is conditional and no total was stated.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Bears cover −2.5 at Carolina.
“I'll tell you, I'm going to go with the Bears here.”
90%A clear side that settles from the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Won by 22
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Caleb Williams throws for 4,000+ yards.
Futures draft, +210.
“Caleb Williams plus 210.”
100%Season passing yards settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Bears win 10 or more games.
Futures draft, +120.
“one of them is bears over nine and a half wins plus 120.”
100%The final win total settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 3–1, 2nd in the NFC North, the NFC 5 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
