NFL
Los Angeles Chargers
Takes
45
from 7 people
Linked games
5
Games
ARI 26@LAC 14·Final·Close LAC -8.5→
LV 26@LAC 14·Final·Close LAC -6.5→LAC 16@
BUF 24·Final·Close BUF -7→LAC 23@
SEA 30·Final·Close SEA -7→
DEN@LAC·10/11 - 4:05 PM EDT·Close DEN -3.5→Takes about the Chargers
Graded so far: 7–7 (50%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026Jim Harbaugh steps away from the Chargers.
“I could see him resigning”
55%Resignation would be public, but "could see" and no timeframe make it soft.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Chargers miss the playoffs.
Official cross-off of the week; Sal agreed.
“look, they're not making it”
100%Playoff field is black and white.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Chargers make a trade before their game against the Broncos.
“i'm sure there will be trades and maybe even a firing before we get to this”
80%Transactions are public; the deadline is the Broncos game.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Jim Harbaugh stays with the Chargers despite the 0–3 start
“i think jim harbaugh is sticking around”
75%Checkable, but no timeframe given; grade at season’s end
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Zach Charbonnet doesn't play against the Chargers.
“Charbonnet is not coming back yet.”
95%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Zach Charbonnet isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Seahawks beat the Chargers.
“I don't see it.”
95%A moneyline lean behind his teaser leg, settled by the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 7
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 20266-point teaser: Seahawks −1 against the Chargers and Bills −1 against the Patriots.
Ringer 107, Week 4, his 6-point teaser.
“And sadly, I am teasing them with the Buffalo Bills down to minus one against the New England Patriots.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 20266-point teaser: Seahawks −1 against the Chargers and Commanders +9.5 against the Colts.
Ringer 107, Week 4, his 6-point teaser.
“No, I'm going to back Washington getting nine and a half.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Chargers are a bad team this season.
“but the Chargers are terrible.”
50%'Terrible' needs a proxy such as a losing record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026Seahawks–Chargers goes under 43.5
“I'm going to go with the Seattle Seahawks chargers under 43 and a half”
100%The final score against 43.5 settles it.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Seahawks beat the Chargers 30-23 on Oct 4, 2026, for 53 total points, well over the 43.5 total.
- Graded by: ESPN ↗ Seahawks 30-23 Chargers (Oct 4, 2026) Game Recap - ESPN · Oct 4, 2026
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026The Seahawks–Chargers total drops below 43.5 by kickoff
“I still like the under because I think it comes down”
85%Settles if the closing total is below 43.5.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Raheem Palmer)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026Seahawks–Chargers goes under 43.5
“I agree with Raheem.”
90%The final score settles it, but his agreement is implied.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Anthony Dabbundo)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026Harbaugh gets linked to college jobs soon
“We'll hear his name being thrown around, I think, for college pretty”
35%“Name thrown around” is rumor, not an outcome
Who said it (90%): Bill references his Thursday conversation with Pelissero
Result: Five days later Bill learns Harbaugh can’t return to college because of NCAA penalties and says he thinks Harbaugh is sticking around (Hello Cleveland, 00:22:08).
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026Jim Harbaugh leaves the Chargers to coach in college (USC) next season.
Bill expects Harbaugh to bail on the 0–3 Chargers for college.
“he's got a million outs and he'll be coaching USC next year”
70%A coaching move is public record, but 'or something' and the joke tone hedge it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Seahawks beat the Chargers.
“And I don't think they're losing two games in a row.”
95%Settles from the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 7
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Chargers miss the playoffs.
After hearing the Chargers' odds (about −700 to miss).
“might do that.”
85%Settles from standings; 'might' makes it a lean, not a bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Packers and Chargers finish among the eight or nine worst teams.
“I don't see how they're not two of the eight or nine worst teams from watching all the teams and all the games.”
70%Final records (bottom nine) serve as the proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Seahawks beat the Chargers.
Floated as a teaser leg.
“The Seahawks are going to win.”
95%Settles from the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Won by 7
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Jim Harbaugh leaves the Chargers on his own before he can be fired.
“Harbaugh, he will bail before the seat gets hot enough.”
35%Leaving before the seat gets hot is subjective and has no timeframe.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Chargers don't trade Justin Herbert.
“I don't see the organization punting on a, what is he, 28 -year -old quarterback in favor of a 65 -year -old head coach.”
65%A trade is public record, but there's no timeframe.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Chargers are the AFC's No. 7 seed.
Restated preseason pick that he now regrets.
“I had the chargers in that seven seed before the year”
100%The final playoff seeding settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Chargers are done (miss the playoffs)
“Because I think the Chargers are done.”
100%Settles automatically from the final regular-season standings
How it’s graded: The Los Angeles Chargers are not one of their conference’s 7 playoff teams when the 2026 regular season ends. Source: ESPN final regular-season standings (saved in data/standings.js). Settles: After the 2026 regular season ends (Week 18).
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Chargers have seven losses by Halloween.
“sit back and collect when they have their seventh loss on Halloween.”
85%Checkable from the Chargers' record on Oct. 31.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026Jim Harbaugh doesn't finish the season as the Chargers' coach.
“And I do think there's a chance he doesn't make it through the season now.”
55%"There's a chance" is close to unfalsifiable, though a departure is checkable.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026Harbaugh is still the Chargers' coach after their next seven games.
Asked whether Harbaugh is still coaching after the Chargers' next seven games.
“I think they'll respect him enough to keep him around.”
75%Checkable from whether Harbaugh is still coaching after the next seven games.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Bills cover a teased −1 against the Chargers.
Bills −7 against the Chargers.
“It's a 100 % chance I'm putting the Bills in the T's.”
85%Graded as Bills −7 teased six points to −1; the teaser size is assumed.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 8
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Jim Harbaugh is not fired this season.
“Not because I think Jim Harbaugh gets fired”
75%A firing is public record, but he gives no timeframe (read as this season).
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Chargers miss the playoffs.
Reversing his preseason pick of the Chargers as a playoff team.
“I don't think that's a playoff team.”
100%Final playoff field settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Ladd McConkey misses the Raiders game.
“I expect him to be out for the game”
100%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Ladd McConkey is in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Brock Bowers doesn't play against the Chargers.
“Seems unlikely that he plays this week.”
95%The box score settles it; hedged as "seems unlikely."
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Brock Bowers isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Chargers–Raiders line drops below Chargers −6.5 by kickoff.
“But I think it's going to keep dropping”
90%The closing line is checkable against the stated Chargers −6.5.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Chargers miss the playoffs.
“thing to bet the Chargers is to miss the playoffs”
100%Final playoff field settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Raiders cover +6.5 against the Chargers.
Sunday-pick lean; he wants the line at 7.
“I might be leaning toward the Raiders.”
55%Settles on the spread, but hedged and conditional on the line reaching 7.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 12
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026Brock Bowers plays in Week 2.
“they shaved his meniscus but he might be ready for week two”
75%The box score settles it, but 'might' hedges.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Brock Bowers isn’t in the box score; confirm by hand
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026Justin Herbert throws for 4,500+ yards
“Herbert 4,500 plus yards 12 to 1.”
100%A fixed yardage threshold settled by official season stats is a clear yes or no.
How it’s graded: Justin Herbert records 4,500 or more passing yards in the 2026 NFL regular season. Source: Pro Football Reference or ESPN season passing stats. Settles: End of the 2026 NFL regular season.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Chargers beat the Cardinals.
“I think the Chargers are going to be pulling it out, Dirk Degger style.”
95%Settles from the final score; it is a lean, not a placed bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 12
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Chargers beat the Cardinals.
Chargers leg of his moneyline parlay (Steelers, Chargers, UCLA at +108 once Philly was dropped).
“If you add the Chargers and your UCLA Bruins, plus 192 on the FanDuel Sportsbook.”
100%Settles from the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Lost by 12
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 8, 2026The Chargers don't overtake the Chiefs in the AFC West.
“if the Chiefs slip and the Chargers actually do something, which won't happen”
50%'Do something' is vague; finishing ahead of the Chiefs in the standings is the proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Nick Wright)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Chargers lose in the first round of the playoffs.
Futures draft, +172.
“Chargers get eliminated in the first round of the playoffs plus 172.”
100%The playoff bracket settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Chargers win the AFC West.
Part of his case that the Chargers win the division as the 3 seed, then lose at home.
“They'll enter as a three seed after winning the division and they're going to lose at home.”
100%Final division standings settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Chiefs are the AFC's 6 seed and beat the Chargers in the first round.
“I have losing to the six seeded Chiefs in round one.”
90%The 6 seed is checkable; the matchup adds a condition.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Currently 4–0, 1st in the AFC West, the AFC 1 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Rams win the NFC West, Chargers make the playoffs, Cardinals lose their first 5 (+850)
“Chargers make the playoffs and Cardinals lose their first five.”
95%Settles over the season; the Cardinals leg needed an 0–5 start
Who said it (80%): Sal’s turn in the alternating futures draft
Result: Arizona beat the Chargers in Week 1 (The Broken Chargers, 00:22:07), so the Cardinals couldn’t start 0–5.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Chargers win more games than the Vikings (−130)
“Chargers more wins than the Vikings.”
100%Final win totals
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Chargers win the AFC West
Explaining his Chargers-over-Vikings future (−130)
“I have the Bolts winning the AFC West”
100%Settles automatically from the final regular-season standings
How it’s graded: The Los Angeles Chargers finish first in their division in the final 2026 regular-season standings (tiebreakers included). Source: ESPN final regular-season standings (saved in data/standings.js). Settles: After the 2026 regular season ends (Week 18).
Who said it (100%): Confirmed by an editor: Sal, continuing his own Chargers-over-Vikings future
Result: Currently 0–4, 4th in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Justin Herbert wins MVP.
Futures draft, 11-1.
“that 11 -1 for Justin Herbert for MVP is a fun bet.”
100%The MVP winner is public record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
