NFL
Denver Broncos
Takes
17
from 4 people
Linked games
5
Games
DEN 10@
KC 31·Final·Close KC -2.5→
JAX 13@DEN 20·Final·Close DEN -2.5→
LAR 26@DEN 30·Final·Close DEN -1.5→DEN 14@
SF 24·Final·Close SF -3→DEN@
LAC·10/11 - 4:05 PM EDT·Close DEN -3.5→Takes about the Broncos
Graded so far: 2–4 (33%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Broncos win fewer than 11 games.
“they're not 11 -12 win caliber team anymore”
100%Settles automatically from the final regular-season standings
How it’s graded: The Denver Broncos finish the 2026 regular season with 10 or fewer wins. Source: ESPN final regular-season standings (saved in data/standings.js). Settles: After the 2026 regular season ends (Week 18).
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Currently 2–2, 3rd in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Broncos win more than six games.
Asked whether the Broncos are only a six-win team.
“I would say no way”
90%Final win total settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Currently 2–2, 3rd in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Broncos win fewer than 10 games.
Denver's win total is 9.5 with juice on the under.
“people still feel like this team can win 10 games I don't know if I see it”
80%Win total checks from standings; "don't know if I see it" softens it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 2–2, 3rd in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026Sean Payton takes play-calling duties back.
“I do wonder if it's all leading toward he takes the play calling back”
55%Reporting would confirm a play-calling change, but 'I do wonder' is a soft hedge.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The 49ers cover −2.5 against the Broncos.
Sign-off lean; the line was 49ers −2.5.
“maybe, laying the points”
90%Settles from the final score against the line; 'maybe' hedges.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 10
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Broncos' offensive coordinator is the first coordinator fired this season.
Replying to Sal's pick of McDaniel as the first coordinator fired.
“I thought it was going to be the Denver OC was going to be the other one.”
70%A public record settles it, but he names it as the alternative candidate, not a firm pick.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Broncos win 10 or 11 games.
Restating his preseason view against a 9.5 win total.
“now I only had them winning 10, 11 games most”
90%Final record settles a stated range.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 2–2, 3rd in the AFC West (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Broncos cover −2.5 against the Jaguars.
Ringer 107, Week 2 pick.
“So you're taking Broncos minus two and a half?”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 7
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Bo Nix plays poorly for the first month of the season.
“I think there's a chance he might just not be good for the first month of the season”
35%'Not good' needs a stat proxy and is hedged with 'a chance'.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 20266-point teaser: Buccaneers −2.5 against the Browns and Jaguars +8.5 against the Broncos.
Ringer 107, Week 2, his 6-point teaser.
“And if he's going to beat my tease of bucks down to minus two and a half with Jags plus eight and a half, God bless him.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 15, 2026The Broncos' defense is much better than its Week 1 performance against the Chiefs
“I don't think Denver is going to have a game where they set the record for most missed tackles”
35%This is a vague claim about defensive improvement; missed-tackle stats are only a partial proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Broncos cover +2.5 against the Chiefs.
Leaning toward this for his Sunday fifth pick.
“Right now, leaning toward Broncos, plus two and a half against the Chiefs.”
90%Settles from the final score, but it is only a lean and he hopes for +3.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 21
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Broncos cover +2.5 against the Chiefs.
His likely Sunday fifth pick; he says he'll play the posted number.
“that's who i'm i'm 96 there already with denver”
85%Settles from the final score; it is a leaning fifth pick.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Lost by 21
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026Broncos–Chiefs is decided by one score (8 points or fewer).
“i don't understand how this isn't a one score game one way or the other”
90%Final margin of 8 or less either way settles it from the box score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Broncos cover +2.5 at Kansas City.
Monday night, Chiefs −2.5 at home.
“I just don't see how the Chiefs are favored like this.”
65%An implied Broncos lean, graded as Denver covering +2.5.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 21
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Vance Joseph wins Assistant Coach of the Year.
Futures draft, Assistant Coach of the Year at +1100.
“And so I think he wins it this year.”
100%The award winner is public record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 3, 2026The Broncos are the AFC favorite.
“this might be the favorite in the AFC.”
35%'Might be the favorite' is hedged; it could be graded by whether Denver wins the AFC.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Charles Barkley)
