NFL
Jacksonville Jaguars
Takes
19
from 3 people
Linked games
5
Games
CLE 10@JAX 34·Final·Close JAX -8.5→JAX 13@
DEN 20·Final·Close DEN -2.5→
NE 6@JAX 35·Final·Close JAX -3→JAX 22@
CIN 17·Final·Close CIN -2.5→
PHI@JAX·10/11 - 9:30 AM EDT·Close JAX -6.5→Takes about the Jaguars
Graded so far: 7–2 (78%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026Trevor Lawrence (10-1) or Dak Prescott (14-1) wins MVP.
Sal read Allen +230 and Purdy +450 for MVP.
“the guys I would bet Lawrence at 10 -1 or Prescott at 14 -1”
75%MVP winner is public, but it's two players and framed as value.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Jaguars are the AFC's best team.
“I would say that the team I probably feel the best about is Jacksonville.”
45%Needs a proxy like the AFC one seed for "best team".
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Bengals cover −2.5 against the Jaguars.
Ringer 107, Week 4 pick.
“i'm gonna go ahead and take cincinnati at home laying only the two and a half against jacksonville”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 5
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Jaguars finish with a bottom-10-to-12 defense in the league.
“I'm going to say it's in the bottom 10 to 12 defenses in the league.”
60%Season defensive rankings can check it, but no metric is named.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Bengals–Jaguars line drops to Bengals −1.5 by Sunday.
Guess the Lines; the line was Bengals −2.5.
“that moves to minus one and a half”
70%The closing line settles it, but 'maybe' hedges it and no automatic rule covers a line dropping.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Bengals–Jaguars line doesn't reach Bengals −3.
The line was Bengals −2.5.
“I don't think it gets to three that's for sure”
90%The closing line settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Jaguars–Patriots line moves from −2.5 to at least Jaguars −3 by kickoff.
“I think that would be three or three and a half by Sunday.”
85%ESPN closing line settles it; graded as Jaguars −3 or more.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Closed JAX -3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Jaguars cover −2.5 against the Patriots.
Ringer 107, Week 3 pick.
“I don't know what happened to them in the second half in Denver, but I think that Jags offense is really good.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 29
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Jaguars cover −2.5 against the Patriots.
Ringer 107, Week 3 pick.
“I am all over the Jags.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 29
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Jaguars beat the Patriots.
“I'd be really surprised if the Pats won this game.”
95%Straight-up result settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 29
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Jaguars miss the playoffs.
Restated after Jacksonville's second-half collapse at Denver.
“the reason i didn't think they were a playoff team”
90%Standings settle it; this is a restated preseason view.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 3–1, 1st in the AFC South, the AFC 2 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Broncos cover −2.5 against the Jaguars.
Ringer 107, Week 2 pick.
“So you're taking Broncos minus two and a half?”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Won by 7
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 20266-point teaser: Buccaneers −2.5 against the Browns and Jaguars +8.5 against the Broncos.
Ringer 107, Week 2, his 6-point teaser.
“And if he's going to beat my tease of bucks down to minus two and a half with Jags plus eight and a half, God bless him.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Jaguars win 8 or 9 games.
“They'll be somewhere 9 -8, 8 -9, whatever, but this is a nice spot for them.”
85%Win total settles from standings; 'somewhere' and 'whatever' hedge the range.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 3–1, 1st in the AFC South, the AFC 2 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 20266-point teaser: Texans +7.5 against the Bills and Jaguars −2.5 against the Browns.
Ringer 107, Week 1, his 6-point teaser.
“So my teaser is Texans plus seven and a half Jaguars minus two and a half.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 20266-point teaser: Jaguars −2.5 against the Browns and Lions −0.5 against the Saints.
Ringer 107, Week 1, his 6-point teaser.
“So Lions winning outright at home against the New Orleans Saints as a teaser leg.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Trevor Lawrence throws for 4,000+ yards.
Futures draft, +160.
“I'm going to go T -Law 4K plus 160.”
100%Season passing yards settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Parker Washington catches 5+ touchdowns.
Futures draft, −122.
“Let me do Parker Washington over four and a half touchdown receptions, minus 122.”
100%The season receiving TD total settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Parker Washington gets 1,000+ receiving yards.
Futures draft, +165.
“I have him 1,000 yards”
100%Season receiving yards settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
