NFL
Green Bay Packers
Takes
37
from 5 people
Linked games
5
Games
GB 22@
MIN 39·Final·Close MIN -2.5→GB 20@
NYJ 17·Final/OT·Close GB -3.5→
ATL 35@GB 14·Final·Close GB -4.5→GB 17@
TB 14·Final·Close GB -2.5→
CHI@GB·10/11 - 1:00 PM EDT·Close CHI -3→Takes about the Packers
Graded so far: 5–6 (45%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North sends two teams to the playoffs.
“And I think the North will get two.”
100%The final standings give a public, yes-or-no count of NFC North playoff teams.
How it’s graded: Exactly two of CHI, MIN, DET and GB make the 2026 NFL playoffs, counting division winners and wild cards. Source: NFL.com final 2026 regular-season standings and playoff seeds. Settles: End of the 2026 NFL regular season.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Packers miss the playoffs.
Explaining why the NFC North's two playoff teams would be Minnesota or Detroit.
“Because I think Green Bay is terrible, which we'll go into later.”
60%'Terrible' is graded here as missing the playoffs.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 2–2, 4th in the NFC North (as of 2026-10-05)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North finishes Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers
An exact-order NFC North bet he fired off during Lions-Panthers.
“I have the bears on top, the Vikings coming in second Detroit in third and green Bay and fourth.”
100%Final division standings settle the exact order.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Packers and Buccaneers are both bad teams this season.
“But my big takeaway was both of these teams suck.”
40%'Suck' needs a proxy, such as each team's final record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Bears cover −2.5 at Green Bay.
Bears are 2.5-point favorites at Green Bay.
“I can guarantee you I'm taking the Bears for Ring of 107.”
100%Cover at the stated line is black and white.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Game isn’t final yet
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The NFC North finishes Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers.
House's exact-order bet: Bears, Vikings, Lions, Packers at 9-1.
“I think that's the right order.”
100%Final division order is in the standings.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Bucs–Packers is close; Tampa covers and might win
“I am going to take the Tampa Bay Bucks yet again, plus three and a half against Green Bay.”
95%Covering +3.5 is checkable; “maybe even win” is a hedge
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Buccaneers cover +3.5 against the Packers.
Ringer 107, Week 4 pick.
“going to take the Tampa Bay Bucks yet”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Buccaneers beat the Packers outright.
“I think Tampa can cover this and maybe even win”
75%Settled by the final score, but 'maybe' is a hedge.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Jalen Daniels runs for more than 34.5 yards against the Packers.
“I have him over 34 and a half rushing yards.”
100%Box score rushing yards settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Jalen Daniels: 0 rushing yards
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Packers are a bad team this season.
“The Packers are terrible.”
50%'Terrible' needs a proxy such as a losing record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Packers recover from their slow start.
“I'm not as panicky about the Packers as I think other people are”
35%Vague; a record or playoffs would have to stand in.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Micah Parsons is back in the Packers lineup by Week 6.
“If it's not week five, it's going to be week six that he should be back in the lineup.”
85%Game logs show his return week.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Josh Jacobs returns to the Packers this season.
“I think he comes back at some point”
70%Games played settle it, but there's no timeframe.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026The coach of whichever team loses Bucs–Packers is the first NFL coach fired this season
“whoever loses that Bucs -Packers game, they might be the first coach fired”
65%Conditional on the loser, and hedged with 'might'; the first firing is public record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Raheem Palmer)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Packers and Chargers finish among the eight or nine worst teams.
“I don't see how they're not two of the eight or nine worst teams from watching all the teams and all the games.”
70%Final records (bottom nine) serve as the proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026Baker Mayfield doesn't play against the Packers.
Baker Mayfield dislocated his thumb late in Week 3.
“He's not playing.”
85%The box score shows whether Mayfield played; the quick self-hedge lowers it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Baker Mayfield isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 22, 2026The Packers beat the Falcons.
During a FanDuel 'early win' ad for Thursday's Falcons–Packers game: "Just bet the money line."
“I would do this with the Packers.”
90%The game result settles it; it's a lean during an ad read.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Packers beat the Falcons (a teaser leg from −6.5).
Packers −6.5 against the Falcons on Thursday.
“Get your free teaser leg here.”
85%Graded as Packers −6.5 teased six points to −0.5; the teaser size is assumed.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Lost by 21
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The NFC North winner finishes better than 9–8.
Asked himself, “Could 9–8 win the NFC North?”
“I don't think so.”
90%The division winner's record settles it from final standings.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Jets beat the Packers outright.
A moneyline lean on top of his Jets +3.5 pick.
“I actually like the money line too for the Jets.”
100%The final score settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Packers finish fourth in the NFC North.
A restated preseason bet.
“I had Green Bay finishing fourth in that division”
100%Official division standings give a clear yes or no on 4th place.
How it’s graded: Green Bay finishes 4th (last) in the NFC North in the final 2026 regular-season standings, with NFL tiebreakers applied. Source: NFL.com official final 2026 NFC North standings. Settles: End of the 2026 NFL regular season.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Packers miss the playoffs.
A restated preseason bet.
“I had Green Bay to miss the playoffs”
100%Final playoff field settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Currently 2–2, 4th in the NFC North (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Packers finish under their preseason win total.
Restating his preseason futures against Green Bay.
“I had Green Bay way under their win total.”
80%Final wins settle it; the exact win-total number wasn't stated.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Jets–Packers line moves below Jets +3.5 by Sunday.
“I think that line's going to go down”
90%The ESPN closing line versus +3.5 settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Jets cover +3.5 against the Packers.
Ringer 107, Week 2 pick.
“So I am going to take Jets plus three and a half.”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Jets–Packers goes under the total.
“I like the under in that game too”
80%The final score settles it, but no total was stated (heavy rain expected).
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Jets–Packers total moves down before kickoff.
“And the under will go down.”
85%Opening and closing totals are checkable; no number was given.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Packers miss the playoffs.
Pitching a Chargers + Packers no-playoffs parlay.
“Like right now, I would say no”
95%Final playoff field settles it; hedged with "right now."
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 2–2, 4th in the NFC North (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Packers aren’t good (and lose to the Jets)
“I don't think the Packers are good.”
50%Graded as the Packers losing to the Jets in Week 2; “not good” is a season-long proxy
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Won by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Jets beat the Packers.
Every year one 0-2 team and one 2-0 team shouldn't be.
“This could be the one.”
80%The final score settles it; 'could be' hedges.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026The Jets cover +4.5 against the Packers.
Packers are 4.5-point road favorites; Bill doesn't think they're good.
“I don't like them on the road or at home.”
80%Settles against the line; a lean rather than a stated bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The Packers have a disappointing season.
“And I'm very pessimistic about Green Bay this season.”
40%Pessimism has no defined threshold; the win total could serve as a proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Matthew Golden and Jalen Coker each get 600+ receiving yards and Rashid Shaheed gets 500+.
Futures draft parlay, +561.
“Matthew Golden on the Packers to get 600 -plus receiving yards.”
100%Season receiving totals settle every leg.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Packers are the NFC's 2 seed.
Futures draft, +1000.
“Green Bay to be the two seed at plus 1,000.”
100%Final playoff seeding settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Currently 2–2, 4th in the NFC North (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Packers win the NFC North.
“I have them to win a division at plus 280”
90%The division standings settle it; it was stated as his projection.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Currently 2–2, 4th in the NFC North (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Christian Watson catches 10+ touchdowns (+340)
“Christian Watson, 10 -plus receiving touchdowns is plus 340.”
100%Christian Watson’s season receiving touchdowns
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
