NFL
Seattle Seahawks
Takes
51
from 8 people
Linked games
5
Games
NE 10@SEA 13·Final·Close SEA -3→SEA 31@
ARI 7·Final·Close SEA -3.5→SEA 31@
WSH 33·Final·Close SEA -8.5→
LAC 23@SEA 30·Final·Close SEA -7→
SF@SEA·10/11 - 4:25 PM EDT·Close SEA -2.5→Takes about the Seahawks
Graded so far: 9–10 (47%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026Three NFC West teams make the playoffs.
“I think there's three NFC West teams in the playoffs again”
100%The playoff field is public record and counting NFC West qualifiers is a clear yes or no.
How it’s graded: At least three of the four NFC West teams (ARI, LAR, SF, SEA) qualify for the 2026-27 NFL playoffs. Source: NFL.com final 2026 regular-season standings and playoff bracket. Settles: End of the 2026 NFL regular season.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026The Seahawks beat the 49ers.
“It's where they make their move in”
90%Game result settles it; the phrasing is a lean.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Game isn’t final yet
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 5, 2026Brock Purdy becomes the MVP favorite if the 49ers win at Seattle.
“Birdie's the MVP favorite if he pulls this off somehow.”
60%Conditional on a 49ers win, then the MVP odds have to be checked by hand.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Game isn’t final yet
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Zach Charbonnet doesn't play against the Chargers.
“Charbonnet is not coming back yet.”
95%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Zach Charbonnet isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Seahawks beat the Chargers.
“I don't see it.”
95%A moneyline lean behind his teaser leg, settled by the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 7
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 20266-point teaser: Seahawks −1 against the Chargers and Bills −1 against the Patriots.
Ringer 107, Week 4, his 6-point teaser.
“And sadly, I am teasing them with the Buffalo Bills down to minus one against the New England Patriots.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 20266-point teaser: Seahawks −1 against the Chargers and Commanders +9.5 against the Colts.
Ringer 107, Week 4, his 6-point teaser.
“No, I'm going to back Washington getting nine and a half.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026Seahawks–Chargers goes under 43.5
“I'm going to go with the Seattle Seahawks chargers under 43 and a half”
100%The final score against 43.5 settles it.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: Seahawks beat the Chargers 30-23 on Oct 4, 2026, for 53 total points, well over the 43.5 total.
- Graded by: ESPN ↗ Seahawks 30-23 Chargers (Oct 4, 2026) Game Recap - ESPN · Oct 4, 2026
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026The Seahawks–Chargers total drops below 43.5 by kickoff
“I still like the under because I think it comes down”
85%Settles if the closing total is below 43.5.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Raheem Palmer)
- Ringer Wise Guys · Sep 29, 2026Seahawks–Chargers goes under 43.5
“I agree with Raheem.”
90%The final score settles it, but his agreement is implied.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Anthony Dabbundo)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Seahawks beat the Chargers.
“And I don't think they're losing two games in a row.”
95%Settles from the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Won by 7
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Seahawks beat the Chargers.
Floated as a teaser leg.
“The Seahawks are going to win.”
95%Settles from the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
Result: Won by 7
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 27, 2026The Ravens, Seahawks and Vikings all cover in a 10-point teaser.
Ten-point teaser idea off Ravens −11.5, Seahawks −6.5 and Vikings −9.5; Bill then bans Kyler Murray from teasers.
“And the one you're about to say could be the third.”
75%Each leg grades from the scores, but it's a teaser idea, not a confirmed bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Cousin Sal)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 20266-point teaser: Seahawks −1.5 against the Commanders and Bengals–Steelers under 48.5.
Ringer 107, Week 3, his 6-point teaser.
“the only thing I knew was that Seahawks Washington was going to be one of my legs.”
100%Settles from the final scores; every leg has to cover its teased line.
Who said it (100%): Ringer 107 pick, from the picks segment
Result: 2-leg teaser
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Seahawks go on a big winning run this season.
“I think they go on a bender this year”
40%"Bender" needs a proxy like a long win streak.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Seahawks beat the Commanders.
Moneyline lean behind his Seahawks −1.5 teaser leg.
“I can't imagine Mariota is going to beat the Seahawks.”
95%Straight-up result settles from the box score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 2
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Seahawks cover −6 against the Commanders.
Bet Sunday night when the line opened at Seattle −6; it is now 7.5.
“I bet it Sunday night as fast as I could with an amount of money that I'm uncomfortable with.”
95%Spread bet settles from the final score; the −6 is the opening number he says he bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
Result: Lost by 2
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Bills and Seahawks make the playoffs.
Going through which 2–0 teams make the playoffs.
“Buffalo, Seattle, sure.”
90%Standings settle it, but this is a brief 'sure' covering two teams.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 21, 2026The Seahawks beat Washington (a teaser leg from −6.5).
Guess the Lines: Seahawks −6.5 at Washington, teased 6 points.
“a teaser game”
85%Teaser leg grades cleanly, but it's a 'probably' idea rather than a placed bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 13, 2026Sam Darnold doesn't play against the Cardinals in Week 2.
“Darnold's out for this week.”
100%Week 2 box score settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Sam Darnold isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026The 49ers face Drew Lock instead of Sam Darnold when they play Seattle.
“they might face Drew Locke”
55%Hedged with "might" and depends on Darnold's injury timeline.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026Sam Darnold misses more than one game.
“the question is whether it's going to be multiple… It seems likely.”
90%Games missed are on the public record; slightly hedged.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Joe House)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 10, 2026Sam Darnold misses 4 to 6 games
“My guy's missing four to six.”
80%Games missed are a matter of record
Who said it (60%): An unlabeled interjection after House’s Darnold update; it’s probably Bill
Result: Darnold was back starting by Week 3 (Drake Mayday, 00:37:36), missing one game.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026Sam Darnold returns from his hip injury this season.
After Darnold's hip injury on the opening series.
“my gut just tells me he's probably going to be back this year”
85%Settles on whether Darnold plays again this season; hedged with "probably".
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Danny Kelly)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026Jadarian Price reaches about 15 touches a game.
“Like definitely think he's going to get there.”
65%Touches per game are checkable, but there's no exact threshold or timeframe.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Craig Horlbeck)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026Sam Darnold only misses a few games
“maybe he'll only miss a few games”
75%Games missed are checkable; “a few” is loose
Who said it (90%): Kelly, the Seahawks fan, answering Bill’s “DK, how do you feel?”
Result: Darnold was back starting for Seattle by Week 3 (Drake Mayday, 00:37:36).
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026The Seahawks start Drew Lock instead of trading for a quarterback.
“I think they'll just roll with Locke.”
85%Transaction records show whether Seattle trades for a quarterback.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Danny Kelly)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026The Seahawks have a solid running game this season.
Arguing the Seahawks will survive Darnold's injury.
“It looks like their running game is going to be fine.”
30%A rushing ranking has to stand in for "fine", and no timeframe is given.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026The Seahawks win enough with Drew Lock starting while Darnold is out.
“And if they have to have Drew Locke for eight games, I think they'll be fine.”
45%"Fine" needs a proxy, such as a winning record in Lock's starts.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026The Seahawks win the Super Bowl.
Restating the Super Bowl pick he made on the Ringer Fantasy Football Show.
“I said the Seahawks”
90%Super Bowl result settles it; he admits he said it with "maybe".
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Danny Kelly)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026Sam Darnold regresses badly this season.
Restating a take from the Ringer Fantasy take purge.
“I said that Sam Darnold was going to turn back into a pumpkin”
45%"Pumpkin" needs a proxy such as a drop in passer rating or QBR.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Craig Horlbeck)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 8, 2026The underdog Patriots stay competitive with the Seahawks in the opener.
Responding to Kevin Wilds' take that the Pats beat up on the Seahawks.
“They're a live dog tomorrow night.”
55%'Live dog' implies a cover or upset; the spread isn't stated.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 8, 2026The Patriots beat the Seahawks.
Parlay leg (Patriots moneyline plus the over), pitched during a FanDuel read.
“which would be the Patriots money line and the over”
100%Settles from the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 8, 2026A.J. Brown scores a touchdown against the Seahawks.
Same-game parlay leg, pitched during a FanDuel read.
“aj brown he's got to score a touchdown the first game”
100%Settles from the box score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: A.J. Brown: 0 receiving touchdowns
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 8, 2026The Patriots cover +4.5 against the Seahawks.
Same-game parlay leg, pitched during a FanDuel read.
“But Pats plus four and a half”
100%Settles from the final score against the line.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 8, 2026Patriots–Seahawks goes under 51.5.
Same-game parlay leg, pitched during a FanDuel read.
“the under 51 and a half because I think the defenses will be further ahead of the offenses”
100%Settles from the final score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: 23 total points
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 8, 2026Christian Gonzalez sits out the opener over his contract.
“might just be like I'm not playing tonight”
70%Whether he played is clear, but 'might' is a heavy hedge.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Christian Gonzalez is in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Patriots cover +3.5 at Seattle.
Week 1 kickoff game in Seattle, Seahawks −3.5.
“I think the Pats are a live dog in this one.”
75%'Live dog' is graded here as covering +3.5; it's a lean, not a stated bet.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Lost by 3
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Texans and Seahawks both make the playoffs.
Futures draft parlay, +112.
“I have Houston and Seattle both to make the playoffs.”
100%Final playoff standings settle both legs.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Texans and Seahawks have two of the three best defenses in the league.
“I just think Houston's defense and Seattle's defense, those are going to be two of the three best defenses in the league.”
55%Needs a defensive metric (EPA or points allowed) as a proxy.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Seahawks rookie running back Price runs for more than 750.5 yards.
Futures draft, over 750.5 rushing yards.
“750.5 yards rushing this is over under on fan duel”
100%The season rushing total settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Matthew Golden and Jalen Coker each get 600+ receiving yards and Rashid Shaheed gets 500+.
Futures draft parlay, +561.
“Matthew Golden on the Packers to get 600 -plus receiving yards.”
100%Season receiving totals settle every leg.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Seattle and New England over 8.5 wins, Rams under 13.5 (+145)
“Seattle and New England together over eight and a half wins.”
100%Three teams’ final win totals
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Seahawks win the NFC West.
Futures draft, +210.
“I'm going to put Seahawks, NFC West, plus 210 on the board.”
100%Final division standings settle it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
Result: Currently 3–1, 2nd in the NFC West, the NFC 6 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Texans and Seahawks each win 10+ games and the Buccaneers win 9+.
Futures draft parlay with Tampa over 8.5.
“Houston and Seattle over nine and a half wins each.”
100%The standings settle all three win totals.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026Seahawks rookie Price wins Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Futures draft, Price at +650.
“Offensive Rookie of the Year, plus 650.”
100%The award winner is public record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 6, 2026The Seahawks beat the Texans in the Super Bowl.
Exact-matchup pick at +5340; Seattle repeats.
“My Super Bowl pick is Seattle over Houston.”
100%The Super Bowl result settles it.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 3, 2026The Texans and Seahawks meet in the Super Bowl.
“Houston and Seattle in the Super Bowl”
100%The Super Bowl matchup is public record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 3, 2026The Seahawks win back-to-back Super Bowls.
“I have Seattle winning back to back”
100%The Super Bowl winner is public record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Bill Simmons)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 3, 2026The Bills beat the Seahawks in the Super Bowl.
“the Buffalo Bills are going to win the Super Bowl over Seattle”
100%The Super Bowl result is public record.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Charles Barkley)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 3, 2026The Bills beat the Seahawks 21–17 in the Super Bowl.
Final score of his Bills–Seahawks Super Bowl pick.
“21 -17”
100%The exact score settles from the box score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Charles Barkley)
