Takes graded
1–1
50% hit rate
Takes
7
across 1 episode
Avg. gradeability
76%
Mostly checkable calls
Speaker attribution: average 96% confidence.
Horlbeck’s takes
Graded so far: 1–1 (50%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026Jadarian Price reaches about 15 touches a game.
“Like definitely think he's going to get there.”
65%Touches per game are checkable, but there's no exact threshold or timeframe.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Craig Horlbeck)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026The 49ers cover +3.5 against the Rams.
“I think the Rams are more or less punting this game”
90%Settles against the line; his side comes from "all of us are on the Niners".
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Craig Horlbeck)
Result: Won by 20
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026The Cowboys blow out the Giants.
“The Giants are going to get their ass kicked.”
85%Graded here as a 10+ point Cowboys win; the opponent is inferred from the Sunday night talk.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Craig Horlbeck)
Result: Lost by 8
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026The Bills win the Super Bowl
“I picked the Bills”
100%The Super Bowl winner is a clear yes-or-no fact on public record.
How it’s graded: The Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI, the championship game of the 2026 NFL season. Source: NFL.com or ESPN Super Bowl LXI final score. Settles: Super Bowl LXI, February 2027.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026Sam Darnold regresses badly this season.
Restating a take from the Ringer Fantasy take purge.
“I said that Sam Darnold was going to turn back into a pumpkin”
45%"Pumpkin" needs a proxy such as a drop in passer rating or QBR.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Craig Horlbeck)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026Brock Bowers is the most overrated fantasy pick this year.
Restating a take from the Ringer Fantasy take purge.
“Brock Bowers was the most overrated pick in fantasy this year”
45%Overrated needs a proxy, such as finish versus draft ADP.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Craig Horlbeck)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 9, 2026Mike McCarthy goes 12–5 and wins a playoff game in Pittsburgh
“I think there's a chance that Mike McCarthy goes like 12 -5 wins a playoff game with the Steelers”
100%Win total and playoff results are public record, so the test is a clear yes or no.
How it’s graded: Steelers win 12+ regular-season games in 2026 AND win at least one playoff game in the 2026-27 postseason. Source: NFL.com final standings and playoff results. Settles: End of the Steelers' 2026-27 postseason run.
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
