Takes graded
10–2
83% hit rate
Takes
34
across 3 episodes
Avg. gradeability
76%
Mostly checkable calls
Speaker attribution: average 95% confidence.
Pelissero’s takes
Graded so far: 10–2 (83%)
Transcripts don’t label speakers, so each take has a speaker confidence score for who said it (hover it for the reasoning). Each take also has a gradeability score: 100% means it can be cleanly confirmed or refuted, and 0% means pure opinion. Click a tier to filter.
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Joey Porter Jr. gets a $30M-plus-per-year contract if he hits free agency.
“He's going to be a 30 -plus million -dollar corner”
60%Conditional on him reaching free agency, with no timeframe.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Joey Porter Jr. plays for the Cowboys this Sunday.
“maybe even as soon as this Sunday, his back's going to be healthy enough for him to play”
80%The box score shows whether he played; 'maybe' is a hedge.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Joey Porter Jr. isn’t in the box score; confirm by hand
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Jayden Daniels doesn't play in Week 4.
“I would say it's a long shot that he plays this week”
95%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Jayden Daniels isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Jayden Daniels plays in Week 5.
“bodes pretty well for him being back on the field in week five”
85%The Week 5 box score settles it; 'bodes well' is a hedge.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Game isn’t final yet
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Jayden Daniels has elbow surgery after the season.
“he's probably going to have surgery”
70%A surgery report would settle it; hedged with 'probably'.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Washington is a relevant team in the NFC East race.
Restating his preseason take.
“I thought Washington was kind of a sneaky team that could be relevant.”
40%'Relevant' needs a proxy such as playoff contention.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Packers recover from their slow start.
“I'm not as panicky about the Packers as I think other people are”
35%Vague; a record or playoffs would have to stand in.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Micah Parsons is back in the Packers lineup by Week 6.
“If it's not week five, it's going to be week six that he should be back in the lineup.”
85%Game logs show his return week.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Josh Jacobs returns to the Packers this season.
“I think he comes back at some point”
70%Games played settle it, but there's no timeframe.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026The Jets draft a quarterback in 2027, and Geno Smith is a one-year stopgap.
“This is probably a one year stop gap and they're drafting somebody in 2027.”
70%The 2027 draft record settles it; hedged with 'probably'.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Oct 1, 2026Puka Nacua plays against the Eagles.
“all systems go for him to be back against the Eagles”
95%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Puka Nacua is in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Giants add a quarterback within weeks
“But I would not be surprised at all if we see them add a quarterback over the next few weeks here.”
75%Checkable within weeks, though “add a quarterback” is broad
Who said it (100%): Reviewed and confirmed by an editor
Result: The Giants traded a 5th-round pick for JJ McCarthy the next week (Hello Cleveland, 01:12:16).
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Jayden Daniels misses the Commanders' upcoming game against the Giants.
“You got Tennessee at home, Arizona at home, and Washington when Jaden Daniels is probably still not back.”
80%Whether Daniels plays in that game is public; hedged with "probably".
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Jameis Winston plays better in his next start.
“I think we'll see a better Jameis.”
55%"Better" needs a proxy like passer rating against Monday's game.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Chargers don't trade Justin Herbert.
“I don't see the organization punting on a, what is he, 28 -year -old quarterback in favor of a 65 -year -old head coach.”
65%A trade is public record, but there's no timeframe.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Colts don't trade Anthony Richardson this season.
“i don't think the colts even want to trade anthony richardson right now”
80%A trade is a public record, but "right now" leaves the timeframe loose (graded through the deadline).
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Raiders keep Kirk Cousins as their starter over Fernando Mendoza while they're in the playoff race.
On whether the Raiders would hand the job to Fernando Mendoza.
“They're going to ride with Kirk as long as they're alive or until his play takes a dip.”
55%Starts are on record, but "alive" and "play takes a dip" are fuzzy conditions.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Kirk Cousins could be traded during the season.
“But I would absolutely not rule out the possibility of Kirk Cousins being traded during the season.”
30%"Not rule out" is barely falsifiable.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Dallas trades for Joey Porter Jr.
“he's going to try to trade for Joey Porter Jr.”
75%A trade is checkable; “gonna try” is softer than “will”
Who said it (95%): Pelissero on Joey Porter Jr., citing Jerry Jones’ “old man with money” line
Result: Dallas traded for Porter the following week (Hello Cleveland, 01:05:21).
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Porter costs a 2nd-round pick
“Second would be my best guess.”
80%The trade price is public
Who said it (95%): Pelissero answers Bill’s “So what is it, a second?”
Result: Dallas gave up a 2028 2nd-round pick (Hello Cleveland, 01:06:43).
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Caleb Williams sits on Monday night
“It's unlikely that he plays Monday night.”
80%Whether he started Monday night is a matter of record
Who said it (95%): Pelissero, who broke the Caleb Williams injury news
Result: Case Keenum started Monday night against the Eagles (Hello Cleveland, 00:04:33).
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026Caleb Williams returns within the next couple of weeks.
“But I expect him to be back in the next couple of weeks here.”
80%Games played settle it; "couple of weeks" is loose.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 24, 2026The Browns pressure Bryce Young heavily this week.
“And I bet that they just, you know, pressure the crap out of Bryce this week.”
45%Needs a proxy like sacks or pressure rate.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Sean McDermott is coaching somewhere in 2027.
On the Bills replacing McDermott with Joe Brady.
“he'll be coaching somewhere in 2027”
90%A 2027 coaching job is public record; it only allows for some ambiguity about what counts as a coaching role.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Joe Burrow plays against Houston despite his back issue.
“Joe Burrow's got a little bit of a back issue, but I fully anticipate him playing”
100%Whether he played settles from the box score.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Joe Burrow is in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Lions add a veteran running back by Monday's practice.
Gibbs had 56 touches in five days and the Lions' RB2 has three carries.
“by the time the Lions are back on the practice field Monday, they'll have another veteran back on the roster”
100%Graded as: Lions sign or trade for a RB with 1+ prior NFL regular-season game between Sept 17 and Sept 21, 2026.
How it’s graded: Lions sign or trade for a RB with 1+ prior NFL regular-season game (53-man or practice squad) between Sept 17 and Sept 21, 2026. Source: Lions official transactions and NFL transaction wire. Settles: End of day Monday, Sept 21, 2026.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: The Lions' transaction log shows only a DB (Jalen Mills) signed to the practice squad on 9/21 and no RB signing in the window. The Roydell Williams signing was Aug 24, and he is a rookie with no NFL games. Hunt was not signed.
- Graded by: Detroit Lions (official) ↗ Detroit Lions Transactions | Detroit Lions - DetroitLions.com
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Bears win the NFC North.
“I guess you'd say the Bears until proven otherwise”
80%Final standings settle it; he first says there's no clear favorite.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Currently 3–1, 2nd in the NFC North, the NFC 5 seed (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Jim Harbaugh is not fired this season.
“Not because I think Jim Harbaugh gets fired”
75%A firing is public record, but he gives no timeframe (read as this season).
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Ladd McConkey misses the Raiders game.
“I expect him to be out for the game”
100%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Ladd McConkey is in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Brock Bowers doesn't play against the Chargers.
“Seems unlikely that he plays this week.”
95%The box score settles it; hedged as "seems unlikely."
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Brock Bowers isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Kyler Murray doesn't play against the Bears.
“I don't think he plays on Sunday for a variety of different reasons”
100%The box score shows whether he played.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Kyler Murray isn’t in the box score
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026Kyler Murray is back in the Vikings' lineup in Week 3.
“I fully anticipate he's back in the lineup probably week three”
100%Graded as: Kyler Murray plays at least one offensive snap for the Vikings in their 2026 Week 3 game.
How it’s graded: Kyler Murray plays at least one offensive snap for the Vikings in their 2026 Week 3 game. Source: Vikings Week 3 box score and snap counts (ESPN/PFR). Settles: End of the Vikings' 2026 Week 3 game.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Murray cleared concussion protocol Sept. 21 and started Week 3 at Tampa Bay (W 23-16), going 15/29 for 168 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT.
- Graded by: Minnesota Vikings (vikings.com) ↗ Kyler Murray (QB): Bio, News, Stats & more
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The Eagles go about 11–6 and make the playoffs.
“we get to the end and they're 11 and six and they're playing in the playoffs”
85%The playoff berth is clear; the 11–6 record is illustrative, not exact.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
Result: Currently 2–2, 2nd in the NFC East (as of 2026-10-05)
- The Bill Simmons Podcast · Sep 17, 2026The NFL opts out of its TV deals in 2029.
“is going to opt out of their TV deals in 2029”
75%A public league decision, but years away and framed as the consensus expectation.
Who said it (95%): Recognized by voice on this line (Tom Pelissero)
