| Who | Correct | Wrong | Open | Pct | Heat | Rating | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheil Kapadia | 13 | 12 | 24 | .520 | 4.8 | 53 | +557 |
Takes graded
13–12
52% correct
Takes
120
across 12 episodes
Avg. firmness
57%
Mixed bag
Take score
+557
+22 a graded take, over 25
Avg. heat
4.8
Coin flip · correct ones 4.3 · bolder than 14% of hosts
Speaker attribution: average 95% confidence.
Points by day
Each graded take counts on its game’s day, or with no game, the day it was graded. Net points treat every take as a fair bet: a correct one pays its heat and a wrong one costs its chance (100 − heat), so following the odds nets about 0. Correct points add up only the correct ones.
Net pts
0
correct pts +557
Best day
+51
Oct 8, 2026 · 1–0
Worst day
−81
Oct 18, 2026 · 3–5
Days
3–3
up–down, of 6 days with a graded take
| Day | Graded | Record | Correct pts | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | 8 | 3–5 | +133 | −81 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 1 | 1–0 | +50 | +50 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | 1 | 0–1 | 0 | −44 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | 7 | 4–3 | +175 | +31 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | 1 | 1–0 | +51 | +51 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 7 | 4–3 | +148 | −7 |
Shows
Kapadia’s takes
- The Jets probably don't beat the Patriots.
Explaining the Patriots −1.5 teaser leg against the Jets.
“I don't think they're going to win that game.”
Won by 7
- 6-point teaser: Patriots −1.5 against the Jets and Colts −0.5 against the Titans.
Ringer 107, Week 6, his 6-point teaser.
“Patriots beat the Jets by one and a half.”
- 1NE −1.5
NYJ19@
NE26· Final✅ - 2IND −0.5
TEN26@
IND20· Final❌
Leg 2 of 2 missed: Lost by 6
- 1NE −1.5
- The Chargers can keep it within 8.5 points at the Chiefs.
Ringer 107, Week 6 pick.
“I'm not saying the Chargers are going to win, but I think they can keep this within eight and a half.”
Lost by 16
- The Eagles cover +3.5 against the Panthers with Tanner McKee starting.
Ringer 107, Week 6 pick.
“It isn't a Homer pick, but I'm taking the Eagles plus three and a half at home”
Lost by 11
- The Texans beat the Jaguars outright.
Moneyline lean on top of his Ringer 107 spread pick.
“I think they win the game outright.”
Won by 3
- The Texans cover +2.5 against the Jaguars in London.
Ringer 107, Week 6 pick.
“And we are taking the Houston Texans, plus two and a half against the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
Won by 3
- Troy Aikman ends up back with Joe Buck at ESPN.
After reports of a booth argument and Aikman saying he'll be a free agent.
“Aikman is back with Buck at ESPN.”
- The Chargers probably miss the playoffs.
“Barring a miracle, I don't think they're going to get back into the wild card race or anything like that.”
- MLB has a work stoppage this offseason.
MLB's labor deal is expiring this offseason.
“even though there is going to be the work stoppage”
- The Eagles beat the Panthers 20–17.
Game prediction with the Eagles as 1.5-point home underdogs.
“So I've got Eagles 20, Panthers 17.”
Lost by 11
- If healthy, DeVonta Smith could have a monster game against the Panthers.
Carolina is down to its third- and fourth-string cornerbacks.
“if he's healthy going up against these guys, he could really have a monster game against the Panthers”
Smith returned from a hamstring injury on 2026-10-18 and had 7 catches for 75 yards and 1 TD on 14 targets in a 25-14 loss. That was solid but short of monster. Backup QB Tanner McKee started for Philadelphia.
- Source: CBS Sports ↗ Carolina Panthers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Live Score and Stats - October 18, 2026 Gametracker · Oct 18, 2026
- Bears–Falcons might be fireworks.
This assumes both Michael Penix Jr. and Caleb Williams play.
“And it might be fireworks, Bears versus Falcons.”
- Payton might not figure out the Broncos' offense in this game against the Seahawks' defense.
“I don't know that he's going to figure it out in this game specifically against that Seahawks defense”
Denver won 17-14 in OT on Oct 15, but the offense managed only 168 total yards, 107 passing yards from Nix, and no second-half third-down conversions. Payton himself said the offense must become more efficient.
- Source: ESPN ↗ Broncos 17-14 Seahawks (Oct 15, 2026) Game Recap · Oct 16, 2026
- The NFC's Super Bowl team likely comes out of the NFC West.
“I think there's, there's still a strong likelihood that the super bowl contender comes out of the NFC West.”
- Rams–Bills could be this season's Super Bowl matchup.
Tom asked whether Rams–Bills was a potential Super Bowl matchup.
“It wouldn't surprise me if this were a Superbowl matchup.”
- The Rams make a deep playoff run.
“I think they're going to be there deep into the playoffs.”
- Parker Washington gets a big contract as a free agent after the season.
He noted Parker Washington is believed to be a free agent at the end of the year.
“He's going to get an incredible contract.”
- No NFC East team runs away with the division.
Arguing that a weak NFC East buys the 2–3 Eagles time to get healthy.
“no one's going to run away with this thing”
- 6-point teaser: Colts +8.5 at the Steelers and Bills +9.5 at the Rams.
Ringer 107, Week 5, 6-point teaser (Colts from +2.5, Bills from +3.5 on Monday night).
“We are going to Pittsburgh and we're taking the Colts plus eight and a half against the Steelers.”
- 1IND +8.5IND22@
PIT34· Final❌ - 2BUF +9.5
BUF37@
LAR34· Final/OT✅
Leg 1 of 2 missed: Lost by 12
- 1IND +8.5
- The Texans blow out the Titans in Tennessee.
“I think we're seeing a blowout in Tennessee.”
Won by 23
- The Texans' defense forces turnovers against the Titans.
Explaining his Ringer 107 pick of the Texans −7.5 at the Titans.
“I think they're going to force some turnovers.”
In the Oct 11, 2026 game Houston won 26-3 and forced two turnovers, including an interception, per the Houston Chronicle and ESPN. Sources differ on which Texans player intercepted the ball.
- Source: Houston Chronicle ↗ Texans' defense finds its form in win over Titans behind Will Anderson Jr. · Oct 11, 2026
- The Texans cover −7.5 at the Titans.
Ringer 107, Week 5 pick.
“The Houston Texans, minus seven and a half at the Titans.”
Won by 23
- The Raiders cover +3.5 at the Patriots.
Ringer 107, Week 5 pick.
“We're taking the Raiders plus three and a half at New England.”
Lost by 28
- The Lions won't win 11 or 12 games.
“And they're not going to win 11, 12 games, which I thought was in play at the start of the season.”
- The Jaguars beat the Eagles (Jaguars 30, Eagles 17).
“I've got Jaguars 30, Eagles 17, and I don't even know that it's going to be as close as that score indicates.”
Won by 2
- The Jaguars cover −7.5 against the Eagles.
“I got the Jaguars covering.”
Won by 2
- The Jaguars beat the Eagles by a bit of a blowout.
“I actually do think it's going to be a bit of a blowout.”
Won by 2
- The Eagles could get to the point of trading key players like Ojemo, Barkley or Baun this season.
Discussing whether the Eagles would sell players like Ojemo, Barkley, Baun or Woolen.
“it's a pretty long list of key players and they absolutely could get to”
- The Buccaneers could move the ball and keep it close against the Cowboys.
The Bucs are 8.5-point underdogs.
“I think there's a chance they could move the football a little bit and keep this one close.”
Tampa Bay won 24-16 at Dallas on Oct 8, 2026 (as 8.5-point underdogs), gaining 419 yards, including 241 rushing. The final margin was 8 points.
- Source: ESPN ↗ Buccaneers 24-16 Cowboys (Oct 8, 2026) Game Recap · Oct 9, 2026
- The Rams go on a run over the next six weeks or so.
Next six games: Bills, Cardinals, Raiders, Chargers, Commanders, Cardinals.
“I think they're going to go on a run.”
- The Falcons might be legit this season.
“Falcons might be legit, Panthers, so we'll see there.”
- The Giants–Commanders game is probably ugly and grimy.
“It's probably going to be ugly.”
- Jameis Winston doesn't quarterback the Giants to an NFC East title.
“but I can't imagine that that guy's going to quarterback a division winner.”
- The Raiders are a real wild-card contender.
Answering 'How seriously are we taking the Raiders as a playoff team?'
“I take them seriously as a wildcard team.”
- Moro Ojomo probably hits free agency and gets a big deal.
“that's a player who's probably going to set to hit free agency who's going to get a big deal”
- Howie Roseman is still running the Eagles in 2028.
Explaining why the Eagles took 2028 picks in the Cam Jurgens trade.
“Howie Roseman knows he is going to be running the Eagles in 2028.”
- The Lions, Eagles and Broncos each have a good chance to finish over .500 and make the playoffs.
About the Lions, Eagles and Broncos, the three 2-2 teams he's panicking about.
“I think they all have a good chance to finish over 500 and be a playoff team.”
- The 0-4 Texans aren't cooked; they have a chance to get hot and sneak into a wild-card spot.
Upon Further Review, on the 0-4 Texans.
“I still think they're a decent team that has a chance to go on a run the rest of the way and like sneak into one of those wildcard spots.”
- The 0-4 Chargers won't be in the playoff race this season.
“I don't think they're going to be in it with that schedule and with the way they're playing.”
- The Falcons are probably the favorites in the NFC South right now.
“now I sort of think that the Falcons are the favorites in the NFC South”
- The Eagles avoid a season from hell and make the playoffs.
Asked whether 2026 is a 'season from hell' for the Eagles.
“I'm not there quite yet.”
- The Vikings probably don't score 35 points against the Dolphins.
Explaining the Dolphins +16.5 teaser leg.
“Vikings aren't looking to put up 35 points offensively.”
MIN scored 15
- 6-point teaser: Ravens −5.5 against the Titans and Dolphins +16.5 at the Vikings.
Ringer 107, Week 4, his 6-point teaser.
“We're teasing that down to five and a half.”
- 1BAL −5.5TEN18@
BAL24· Final✅ - 2MIA +16.5
MIA10@
MIN15· Final✅
All 2 legs came true
- 1BAL −5.5
- The Packers cover −3.5 at the Buccaneers.
Ringer 107, Week 4 pick.
“I like the Packers minus three and a half in this game.”
Won by 3
- The Lions cover −3.5 at the Panthers.
Ringer 107, Week 4 pick.
“I'm taking the Detroit Lions, minus three and a half.”
Lost by 6
- The Rams beat the Eagles and don't fall to 1–3.
Explaining his Rams −3 pick.
“I don't think the Rams are going to fall to 1 -3.”
Won by 4
- The Rams cover −3 at the Eagles.
Ringer 107, Week 4 pick.
“But we're taking the Los Angeles Rams.”
Won by 4
- The Texans have a good chance to beat the Cowboys.
“I think they have a good chance to win this game.”
Lost by 4
- The Steelers don't reach the Super Bowl this season.
“I don't think any of us think the Steelers are getting to the Superbowl, this year.”
LAC
KC
CAR
PHI
HOU
JAX
CHI
ATL
SEA
DEN
49ers
Cowboys
Giants
Commanders
LV
Lions
TB
GB