The Bill Simmons PodcastNBA One Guy (the West!), an Eagles Mess, MLB and WNBA Playoffs, a Mini-Mailbag and Ringer 107 Picks |
Standings
How each person’s takes from this episode have turned out. Click a column to sort.
 Joe House | 3 | 2 | 3 | .600 | 5.6 | +117 |
 Bill Simmons | 3 | 3 | 6 | .500 | 6.0 | +183 |
 Rob Mahoney | 0 | 0 | 2 | — | 7.5 | 0 |
 Tom Pelissero | 0 | 0 | 4 | — | 4.0 | 0 |
- Kyrie Irving plays 50 to 60 games this season.
“He's going to play 50 to 60 games.”
- The Grizzlies win more than 29 games.
“And it's a team I'm really bullish on as like a better than a 29 -win team”
- The Lakers probably don't win the title this season.
What he'd have told Luka instead of trading for Kessler.
“we're not going to win the title this year”
- Walker Kessler could become an All-Defense or fringe All-Defense player.
“there is a legitimate chance that Kessler becomes an all -defense level or at least fringe all -defense level guy”
- The Timberwolves are probably the third-best team in the West.
“I think they are probably the third best team in the West.”
- The 4–0 Vikings go 12–5 and are underdogs in their first playoff game.
“They'll go 12 -5 and be underdogs in round one”
- The Vikings are likely to be selectively aggressive in pursuing players at positions other than quarterback.
“i do anticipate that they'll be um you know selectively aggressive in terms of um pursuing at other positions”
- The Vikings' quarterbacks stay Kyler Murray and Carson Wentz, with no new QB added.
“Kyler and Carson, unless something just plops in their lap.”
- If the Chargers fall to 0-6, they probably ride it out with Mike McDaniel as offensive coordinator.
“ride it out, which I think is the default position.”
- If the Chargers are 0-6, they probably make whatever trades of veterans make sense.
Naming veterans in contract years like Mack, Dupree, Perryman and Jackson.
“You're going to have to sit there and go, we probably need to do whatever deals make sense here.”
- Mike McDaniel probably doesn't make it to Christmas as Chargers offensive coordinator.
"If I had to bet on Mike McDaniel making it to Christmas, my bet is no."
“my bet is no.”
- The Aces don't make the WNBA Finals, so there's no Aces–Dream Final.
“That was available at plus 145, but that's not going to happen because the Aces have choked that shit away.”
Golden State swept the Aces 3-0 in the semifinals, clinching 87-77 in OT on Oct 9, 2026. The Finals are Valkyries vs. Dream, and Golden State won Game 1 on Oct 17.
- Source: ESPN ↗ WNBA playoffs 2026: Previewing Valkyries-Dream Finals matchup
- If their defense comes around, the Eagles can get to about nine wins.
If the Eagles' defense comes around.
“They can just by virtue of the personnel there get to nine wins or so.”
- If the Bengals lose to Miami, their odds to finish last in the AFC North shorten to about +140.
The Bengals were +550 to finish last in the AFC North.
“That'd be like a plus one 40.”
The Bengals beat the Dolphins 31-24 on Oct 11 and moved to 3-2, so the 'if they lose' condition never happened. The prediction is void and can't be graded as a hit or a miss.
- Source: ESPN ↗ Bengals 31-24 Dolphins (Oct 11, 2026) Game Recap - ESPN · Oct 11, 2026
- Washington's head coach is fired soon.
“the dopey guy who's about to no longer be the head coach of Washington”
- The Steelers cover −2.5 against the Colts.
Ringer 107, Week 5 pick.
“Taking the Pittsburgh Steelers, laying the two and a half.”
Won by 12
- The Steelers finish 8–9.
“the Steelers team is going to be eight and nine.”
- The Steelers finish 9–8.
“And the Steelers, you know, are headed to 9 -8.”
- The Steelers cover −2.5 against the Colts.
Ringer 107, Week 5 pick.
“Well, we both have Steelers minus two and a half.”
Won by 12
- The Rams cover −3.5 against the Bills.
Ringer 107, Week 5 pick.
“So I don't mind laying the three and a half with the Rams.”
Lost by 3
- The Cardinals cover +5.5 against the Lions.
Ringer 107, Week 5 pick.
“So Cardinals plus five and a half is my second pick.”
Lost by 24
- The Patriots cover −3.5 against the Raiders.
Ringer 107, Week 5 pick.
“Going to go ahead and ride with your New England Patriots.”
Won by 28
- 6-point teaser: Jaguars −1.5 against the Eagles (London) and Texans −1.5 against the Titans.
Ringer 107, Week 5, his 6-point teaser.
“So Jags, Texans, this is the easiest tease of the year, which makes me super nervous.”
- 1JAX −1.5
PHI17@
JAX19· Final✅ - 2HOU −1.5
HOU26@
TEN3· Final✅
All 2 legs came true
- 1JAX −1.5
- 6-point teaser: Texans −1.5 against the Titans and Saints +7.5 against the Vikings.
Ringer 107, Week 5, his 6-point teaser.
“i'm just taking them north of a touchdown”
- 1HOU −1.5HOU26@TEN3· Final✅
- 2NO +7.5
MIN23@
NO13· Final❌
Leg 2 of 2 missed: Lost by 10
- 1HOU −1.5
- The Cardinals can beat the Lions outright.
Moneyline lean on top of his Cardinals +5.5 pick.
“I think they can win that game outright.”
Lost by 24
- The Seahawks cover −3 against the 49ers.
Ringer 107, Week 5 pick.
“I also have Seattle minus three against the Niners.”
Lost by 3
- UCLA beats Oregon this weekend.
“Don't forget to place a wager on UCLA because they're going to beat Oregon this weekend.”
Won by 2
Grizzlies
Lakers
Timberwolves
Chargers
Aces
Dream
CIN
MIA
Commanders
IND
PIT
BUF
LAR
DET
ARI
LV
NE
SF
SEA
UCLA
ORE
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