The Bill Simmons Podcast

The Annual AFC Over/Unders

Aug 30, 2026 · 1h 56m · take 75 of 77

Make your take

In context

HouseYeah, I like Denver to win this division. And mainly it's because the odds are sitting there at two to one. And the way I think that Denver and the Chargers are like neck and neck. And the reason I went in the direction of Denver is because I match up the units. I think that Denver's defense is the best unit of those two teams doing offense, defense, special teams.

HouseI like the Denver defense the best out of all of them. The schedules are comparable, obviously, because they're in division. and the Chargers with the uncertainty that's coming into that offensive line. It's annoying. I'd really like to see this Chargers offense one time. So it's Broncos, Chargers, Chiefs. I'm so far out on the Chiefs.

HouseI'm doing alt -unders on the Chiefs and then Raiders under five and a half because the math you just laid out.

BillThat's the way I'm putting this. This is one of my favorite exacts. Broncos, Chargers, Chiefs, Raiders. I think that's how it goes. AFC locks. So you had which locks?

BillWhat did I have? I have... Because I had Houston over 9.5, and I had Denver over 9.5 as my only two locks in the AFC. So I did seven total.

BillRight.

SalI'm going Chargers over. I'm going Jets over.

From the episode transcript around 01:53:33. Speaker names are recognized by voice.

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