The Bill Simmons Podcast
Guess the Lines Week 1, Plus Favorite NFL Futures
Sep 6, 2026 · 2h 19m · take 38 of 88
- Trevor Lawrence throws for 4,000+ yards.
Futures draft, +160.
“I'm going to go T -Law 4K plus 160.”
Make your take
In context
SalAs long as we're talking 4,000 plus, how about Trevor Lawrence?
SalPlus 160. Not as good a number, but probably because he had 4,007 last year.
SalAnd the team led the league in drops.
Sal45 drops. I love this. So if you cut that number to 30, which is still really bad, he should go way over this number. You could escalate it to 4,100. You should be okay there too, but I'm going to go T -Law 4K plus 160.
BillI love it, and I'm going to follow it up with another 4K bet.
BillOkay.
BillCaleb Williams plus 210.
From the episode transcript around 01:19:11. Speaker names are recognized by voice.

Jaguars
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