The Bill Simmons Podcast

The Annual AFC Over/Unders

Aug 30, 2026 · 1h 56m · take 69 of 77

Make your take

In context

BillThey improved their offensive line, improved their run game, and they have Mendoza lurking. Plus they have Clint Kubiak.

BillWhy wouldn't we go

Salover on this? Oh, I was going to say this is my most embarrassing pick of all. and picking them over.

SalI won't do what I've done in prior years, take them to get a wild card or anything like that, but I do think they're going to go 7 -10, I have, for this team. And it doesn't have a lot to do with Mendoza, my dumb reasoning. Like Kubiak, it was a few years ago, but Kubiak and Cousins, that was his most productive year.

SalHe had 31 touchdown passes that year. Now, I can only say this with so much confidence

Salfor a team that boasts a wide receiver room of Trey Tucker, Jack Beck, and Malik Benson, which I think only next to the Dolphins.

SalThat might be worse than the Dolphins. But a little Max Crosby karma in there. They spent $308 million in free agency. That's the second most.

From the episode transcript around 01:48:30. Speaker names are recognized by voice.

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