The Bill Simmons PodcastNBA Power Poll 1.0, Plus a ‘You Can See Everything’ Breakdown
Standings
How each person’s takes from this episode have turned out. Click a column to sort.
| Who | Correct | Wrong | Open | Pct | Heat | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bill Simmons | 1 | 1 | 25 | .500 | 5.7 | +4 |
- The Nets trade Michael Porter Jr. at some point.
“They'll trade Porter at some point.”
- The Bucks are punished and lose a draft pick over the Gary Trent Jr. contract.
On the league's look into the Bucks' $64 million deal with Gary Trent Jr.
“They're going to lose a pick in this.”
- The Brewers win the World Series.
“The Brewers are about to win the World Series.”
Brewers beat the Rays 4-1 in Game 5 on Oct 28, 2026, winning the World Series 4-1 for their first title in franchise history.
- Source: CBS Sports ↗ 2026 MLB playoff bracket: Schedule, scores as Guardians force Game 5 vs. White Sox in ALDS
- Caleb Wilson probably averages at least 22 points and 7 rebounds this season, likely on a bad team.
“So Caleb looks like he's going to be an easy 22 and seven guy this season, probably on bad teams.”
- The Heat probably can't win 50 games with Giannis and Bam plus league-average help.
Ten years ago Giannis and Bam with league-average help could 'probably win 50 games'; the league is too deep now.
“I don't think you can do it.”
- The Suns probably can't win 50 games with Booker and thin depth.
Extending the 50-win point about two-star builds to Phoenix.
“I don't think you do with Booker and Phoenix either.”
- The Heat might still go over their preseason win total.
A restated preseason win-total bet; he later says he'll 'live with my picks'.
“I went over on them before the season”
- The Heat are already behind the eight ball for a playoff spot.
The Heat are −110 to make the playoffs on FanDuel; Bill cites the deep East and Charlotte's start.
“I think they're behind the eight ball already.”
- The Pelicans miss the playoffs.
“They are not a playoff team.”
- The Magic make a roster-changing trade by February.
He follows with 'There will be some trade', possibly involving Banchero, Suggs or Franz Wagner.
“And really the big takeaway is this team will not look the same in February.”
- The Nuggets don't win 51 games.
“They're not going to be a 51 team.”
- If Anthony Davis stays healthy, the Wizards win 35 to 37 games.
“And as long as he stays healthy, I think this is a 35 to 37 win team.”
- With Cooper Flagg, the Mavericks probably can't finish under .500.
On Cooper Flagg; Dallas's preseason over/under was about 33 wins.
“I'm not sure it's possible for him to be on an under 500 team anymore.”
- Brandon Miller could become an All-NBA player.
He adds right after: 'I don't know if that's going to last.'
“Like this is going to be an all NBA guy.”
- The Hornets are probably a playoff team.
Charlotte is +155 to make the playoffs on FanDuel.
“i think it's a playoff team”
- The Grizzlies are at least a play-in team.
Restated preseason bet; Memphis is 4–0.
“And I thought one of my biggest bets was them to be a play -in team.”
- The Grizzlies might be a bit better than a play-in team if Zach Edey plays a full season.
“They might even be a whiff better than that if they can get a full season from Edie.”
- The Pacers win 50 games.
“And this team, I still think is a 50 -win team.”
- If the Lakers keep using him this way, Luka Doncic averages 36 points a game.
Luka's 36-points-a-game over was about 3-to-1.
“I think he'd get to 36 points a game if this is how they're going to use him.”
- Paul George's numbers probably get even better against Brooklyn tonight if he plays.
Paul George is averaging 30 minutes a game and shooting 50% from three.
“and they're playing Brooklyn tonight so those numbers will probably be even better if he plays”
On Oct 27 George played 36 min in a 125-124 OT win over BKN, scoring 20 points on 8/16 FG and 1/6 from three (17%). His 50% three-point mark got worse, not better.
- Source: CBS Sports ↗ Brooklyn Nets vs. Boston Celtics Live Score and Stats - October 27, 2026 Gametracker · Oct 27, 2026
- Barring major injuries, the Pistons win at least high-40s games.
“I think it's really hard for them not to be in the high 40s unless they have major injuries.”
- The Timberwolves are probably a 4 or 5 seed.
“But he's on a mission and this team's going to be probably a four or five seed.”
- At +650, Anthony Edwards is the best MVP bet if his knee holds up.
Anthony Edwards is +650 for MVP; Luka is about +450.
“And I think he's the best bet if his knee holds up, which seems fine so far.”
- The Thunder don't win 70 games.
After injuries to Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace.
“They're not going to win 70 games now.”
- The Thunder don't have enough to win the title now.
Discussing how hard it is to win the title after the Williams and Wallace injuries.
“I don't think they have enough now.”
- Right now the Spurs, Thunder and Rockets are the three best bets to win the title.
“I think right now, these are the three best bets to win the title.”
- The Rockets are a legitimate title contender.
Houston is 19-1 to win the title (eighth-best odds on FanDuel).
“I think they're a legitimate contender.”
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Bucks
Brewers
Rays
Bulls
Heat
Suns
Pelicans
Magic
Nuggets
Wizards
Mavericks
Hornets
Grizzlies
Pacers
Lakers
BOS
Pistons
Timberwolves
Thunder
Spurs
Rockets
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