The Bill Simmons PodcastNBA Over/Unders, Part 1: The West |
Standings
How each person’s takes from this episode have turned out. Click a column to sort.
 Bill Simmons | 0 | 0 | 31 | — | 5.7 | 0 |
 Joe House | 0 | 0 | 18 | — | 5.0 | 0 |
 Zach Lowe | 0 | 0 | 17 | — | 4.8 | 0 |
- The Spurs win 61–62 games.
“i think they're in the 61 to 62”
- The Spurs are not the West's 1 seed.
Reading the Spurs' one-seed odds (+140).
“I actually think they will not be the one seed”
- Barring a major injury, probably only the top two West teams can make the Finals.
“I don't know that anybody out of the West can make the finals other than the top two unless there's a major injury”
- The Suns win between 35 and 45 games.
“Phoenix, we'll get to them, but they're going to be somewhere between 35 and 45 wins.”
- The Rockets win 49–53 games.
“I'd be really surprised if this team didn't get into the 49 to”
- The Mavericks look like a play-in team.
“it feels like a playing team in the house”
- The Mavericks probably win fewer than 33.5 games, barely.
Win total of 33.5; he said he wouldn't bet it, citing a possible Kyrie trade.
“go under by this teeniest teeniest teeniest of hairs”
- The Mavericks win more than 33.5 games.
Win total of 33.5. House: '34 wins is attainable.' Bill projected the mid-30s.
“I am a slight over because I think Kyrie is incentivized to have a really good season.”
- The Thunder, Spurs, Nuggets, Timberwolves and Rockets all make the playoffs.
His West playoff locks, with a Pacific team still to be determined.
“OKC, San Antonio, Denver, Minnesota, and Houston.”
- Cameron Boozer averages about 19 points and 10 rebounds as a rookie.
“Who's going to be 19 and 10 every night”
- The Pelicans are a lead candidate to unintentionally land in the NBA's relegation zone.
“if there's any franchise in the entire nba who unintentionally fucks up and find themselves in the relegation zone”
- The Thunder are the West's 1 seed.
OKC was −110 to be the one seed.
“I do think they will be the one seed”
- The Thunder lose fewer than 20 games (63+ wins).
“I don't see how they lose 20 games or more this season, even with the new tanking rules.”
- The Thunder win more than 61.5 games.
Win total of 61.5. House and Bill locked it; Zach took a straight over.
“It's an over. It's a lock.”
- The Timberwolves win fewer than 46.5 games.
Win total of 46.5; he declined to lock it.
“And as a result, Minnesota's an under for me.”
- The Timberwolves win more than 46.5 games.
Win total of 46.5. Bill said the number is two to three wins too low.
“And I just, I think 46 and a half is too low.”
- The Nuggets win 50+ games unless something egregious happens.
“I just think he's 50 wins every year, much like Tim Duncan back in the day, unless something egregious happens.”
- The Nuggets win more than 48.5 games.
Win total of 48.5. Bill: 'Anything under 50 is an automatic over for me.'
“Having said all that, it's an over for me over 48 and a half.”
- The Nuggets win fewer than 48.5 games.
Win total of 48.5.
“I'm going under on 48 and a half for the nuggets and no one loves Jokic more than I do.”
- The Jazz win more than 37.5 games.
Win total of 37.5.
“I have to take the over with this team because of my respect for Hardy and how many professional basketball players are on this team.”
- The Jazz can bump up into the play-in range around the 10 seed.
“I think they're going to be a legit team to bump up into that sort of 10 space.”
- The Jazz win fewer than 37.5 games (35–37).
Win total of 37.5. He called it a slight under, made to zag, and said he already regrets it.
“I think they're somewhere between 35 and 37 for me.”
- Luka Doncic probably doesn't win MVP this season.
Asked whether the new-look Lakers can get Luka an MVP.
“the answer is always going to probably be no”
- Rob Pelinka is no longer running the Lakers by the end of the season.
After the team's sale; he said Pelinka is 'in the exit row', possibly sooner.
“I don't think he will be involved with this team by the end of the season.”
- The Lakers cruise to the Pacific Division title.
“They're going to cruise to this division.”
- The Lakers win the Pacific Division.
The Lakers were −180 to win the Pacific.
“the price is minus 180 to win the division, I'm going to lay it”
- The Warriors finish in the 4–10 lottery range.
“I think this is a 4 -10 team”
- The Suns win fewer than 38.5 games (35–38).
Win total of 38.5; Zach called his a slight under.
“one of the reasons I went under, because I think they'll be between 35 and 38”
- The West's 7th through 10th seeds might all win fewer than 40 games.
“7, 8, 9, 10, I think might all be under 40.”
- The Suns win more than 38.5 games (low 40s).
Win total of 38.5.
“I think they're going to win the low 40s because I think they're better than Portland.”
- The Clippers win fewer than 25 games.
“I don't see how this team gets to 25 wins,”
- The Kings win more than 20.5 games.
Win total of 20.5. Bill: '21 and 61 sounds fine.'
“I'm going over on the Kings after calling them the Hindenburg last year.”
- The Kings win fewer than 20.5 games.
Win total of 20.5; he followed with 'Teenage wins.'
“I'm under.”
- The Spurs win more than 60.5 games.
Win total of 60.5; no locks. Bill said 'slight over' and projected 61–62.
“San Antonio, 60 and a half. We all went over.”
- The Rockets win more than 48.5 games.
Win total of 48.5; called a 'triple lock' in the recap. Bill projected 49–53.
“Houston, 48 and a half. We all went over.”
- The Grizzlies win more than 30.5 games.
Win total of 30.5.
“Memphis, 30 and a half. We all went over.”
- The Pelicans win fewer than 28.5 games.
Win total of 28.5.
“New Orleans, 28 and a half. We all went under.”
- The Trail Blazers win fewer than 41.5 games.
Win total of 41.5. House said he could easily see 44 wins; Zach called his a slight under.
“portland 41 and a half we all went under”
- The Lakers win more than 45.5 games.
Win total of 45.5; Zach locked it.
“over over over 45 and a half Zach locked it down”
- The Warriors win fewer than 36.5 games.
Win total of 36.5; Bill locked it in the recap. House: 'It's a big under for me.'
“Golden State under 36 and a half I'm locking this”
- The Clippers win fewer than 27.5 games.
Win total of 27.5; House locked it.
“Clippers three unders house locks that one down that is under 27 and a half”
Spurs
Thunder
Suns
Rockets
Mavericks
Nuggets
Timberwolves
Grizzlies
Pelicans
Jazz
Lakers
Warriors
Clippers
Kings
Trail Blazers
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