Ringer Wise GuysFalcons-Saints Recap, Early Week 5 Leans, and 2-0 Series Leads | Ringer Wise Guys
Standings
How each person’s takes from this episode have turned out. Click a column to sort.
 Anthony Dabbundo | 6 | 4 | 3 | .600 | 4.8 | +295 |
 Raheem Palmer | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1.000 | 4.8 | +247 |
 Cousin Sal | 4 | 3 | 3 | .571 | 4.6 | +149 |
- The Falcons could challenge for the NFC South.
“They could challenge for the division and they can cause some real problems.”
- The Saints are probably cooked as a playoff team.
Right after reading the Saints' playoff odds (+184).
“I think the Saints are cooked.”
- About seven wins takes the NFC South.
Restating his preseason view while weighing Atlanta's one-game lead over New Orleans.
“Look, this is a division I thought seven wins takes it.”
- The Buccaneers aren't a factor in the NFC South race.
“I'm completely dismissing the Buccaneers at this point”
- The Ravens–Falcons game might go over the total.
Lamar Jackson is out; Snoop Huntley starts for Baltimore.
“I'm tempted to play it over.”
Ravens won 30-23 in overtime on Oct 11, 2026, for 53 combined points. Pregame total was 43.5 (44 at one book), so the over hit by about 10 points.
- Source: ESPN ↗ Ravens 30-23 Falcons (Oct 11, 2026) Final Score - ESPN · Oct 11, 2026
- The Giants cover +3.5 against the Commanders.
Early Week 5 lean; the line has since moved to 4.5.
“But I had the Giants plus three and a half just because I think that line is pretty much wrong.”
Tied by 0
- The Vikings cover −1.5 against the Saints.
Early Week 5 lean.
“One is the Vikings minus one and a half.”
Won by 10
- The Steelers cover −2.5.
Early Week 5 lean.
“i'm gonna take the stillers minus two and a half”
Won by 12
- Lions–Cardinals goes over 53.5.
Early Week 5 lean.
“We're going to go Lions Cardinals over 53 and a half.”
66 total points
- The Lions score in the 30s against the Cardinals.
“I think the lions are going to be able to score in the thirties.”
Detroit won 45-21 over Arizona on Oct 11, 2026, so the Lions scored 45, above the 30–39 band. Arizona scored 21.
- Source: ESPN ↗ Lions 45-21 Cardinals (Oct 11, 2026) Final Score · Oct 11, 2026
- The Lions might cover -4.5 against the Cardinals.
Early Week 5 lean.
“I kind of like the lions here and I hate laying points to the lions, but it's up to four and a half”
Won by 24
- The Cardinals miss the playoffs.
“That's not going to make the playoffs.”
- Jacoby Brissett is a good fantasy start against the Lions.
“That's a get right spot for any quarterback facing that defense.”
Oct 11, 2026: Brissett went 29-of-47 for 292 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, plus 19 rushing yards in the 45-21 loss to DET, about 23-25 fantasy points by my estimate. Pre-game projections were 18.2-20.9.
- Source: ESPN ↗ Lions 45-21 Cardinals (Oct 11, 2026) Final Score · Oct 11, 2026
- The Lions beat the Cardinals 34–24.
“Lions 34, Cardinals 24.”
The Lions won 45-21 over the Cardinals on October 11, 2026, so the predicted winner was right but the exact 34-24 score was wrong.
- Source: ESPN ↗ Lions 45-21 Cardinals (Oct 11, 2026) Final Score · Oct 11, 2026
- The Seahawks cover −2.5 against the 49ers.
Early Week 5 lean, at the 2.5 on the market.
“But I think I'm laying the points with the Seahawks.”
Lost by 3
- If the 49ers beat Seattle, Brock Purdy moves ahead of Josh Allen in the MVP odds.
“But I think this puts him ahead of Josh Allen, regardless of what the bills do if he wins.”
The 49ers beat Seattle 32-29 on Oct 11, 2026. Purdy moved to +280 and ahead of Allen (+300) on SI's board, though one report had them tied at +300 at FanDuel.
- Source: Sports Illustrated ↗ NFL MVP Odds: Brock Purdy Jumps Josh Allen as Favorite; Joe Burrow, Drake Maye Rising
- Brock Purdy probably doesn't win MVP.
“I'm not really buying the Purdy MVP candidacy at this point because they're so injured that eventually that will catch up to them.”
- The Patriots cover −3.5 against the Raiders.
Sal's Week 5 early lean.
“So I'm going Patriots minus three and a half over.”
Won by 28
- The Patriots beat the Raiders 30–17.
“So this one sings 30, 17 to me good enough to make it my week five early lean.”
Patriots won 45-17 over the Raiders on Oct 11, 2026. The Raiders' 17 matched, but New England's 30 did not.
- Source: ESPN ↗ Patriots 45-17 Raiders (Oct 11, 2026) Game Recap · Oct 11, 2026
- The Yankees don't win their series against the Rays.
The Yankees trail the Rays 0–2 in the ALDS.
“But you're not going to win a, any kind of series there.”
The Rays swept the Yankees 3-0 in the 2026 ALDS, with Game 3 won 4-3 at Yankee Stadium on Oct 7, 2026. The Yankees were eliminated.
- Source: ESPN ↗ Rays 4-3 Yankees (Oct 7, 2026) Game Recap · Oct 8, 2026
- The National League is probably a bigger favorite than -175 to win the World Series.
The National League was −175 to win the World Series.
“I honestly think it might be short because I do think there's a pretty big gap.”
- The Rays might lose Game 3 to the Yankees.
“So I think they might lose game three.”
Won by 1
- The Rays win the American League pennant.
Bet at −105 to win the AL.
“So I think, I think raised minus one Oh five is a, is a great bet.”
The Rays swept the Yankees in the ALDS, then beat the Guardians 4-2 in the ALCS, clinching with a 7-3 Game 6 win on Oct 19, 2026. They advance to the World Series against the Brewers.
- Source: MLB.com ↗ Rays set themselves up for perfect pitching scenario by winning ALCS in 6 games · Oct 20, 2026
- The Padres beat the Brewers in Game 3.
“I do think the Padres win tonight.”
Won by 1
- The games today probably stay under the total.
“I'm going under for both games today.”
Dodgers beat Braves 3-1 on Oct 6, 2026, for 4 total runs, well under the ~7 line he cited. Exact closing total not found, but any plausible number is cleared.
- Source: ESPN ↗ Dodgers 3-1 Braves (Oct 6, 2026) Game Recap - ESPN · Oct 7, 2026
- Brewers–Padres Game 3 goes under 7.5 runs.
Play of the day; Sal recaps it as the under 7.5 at even money.
“So I just think it's hard to get over that key number of seven in a game like this.”
7 total points
- The Dodgers score over 3.5 runs against the Braves.
Play of the day, at +114.
“Dodgers over three and a half runs gets you plus money.”
LAD scored 3
- The Dodgers probably score more than 3.5 runs against the Braves.
“They score five, which is over three and a half Raheem.”
The Dodgers scored only 3 runs in the 3-1 win over the Braves on Oct 6, 2026. That is below both the predicted five and the 3.5-run line. Yamamoto struck out 10 over seven innings and Chris Sale allowed three runs.
- Source: ESPN ↗ Dodgers 3-1 Braves (Oct 6, 2026) Box Score - ESPN · Oct 6, 2026
- Embiid and LeBron play around 31.5 regular-season games together, maybe a few more.
Asked by chat for an over/under on Embiid and LeBron's regular-season games together.
“So I'm going to hang the number at 31 and a half regular season games played by Joel and B and LeBron James.”
- Joel Embiid may be healthier (play more games) than LeBron James this season.
“I think the wild card here is that I actually think Embiid may be healthier than LeBron this year.”
- Embiid and LeBron probably play under 31.5 regular-season games together.
“I would probably go under.”
- The Pelicans might beat the Thunder.
Best bet, on a preseason game, at +124.
“So I'm going to go with the New Orleans Pelicans money line plus one 24.”
Won by 6
Falcons
Saints
Buccaneers
BAL
NYG
WSH
MIN
IND
PIT
DET
ARI
SF
SEA
LV
NE
Yankees
Rays
MIL
SD
LAD
ATL
76ers
NO
OKC
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