NFL Week 6 Betting Preview

KezirianTypically, rookie quarterbacks are way better to back at home, and maybe Evan has a stat on that, but I couldn't lay the points with Pittsburgh. It's a little bit of, we know who Pittsburgh is, and I think this is like a good team should be laying two and a half on the road here not the steelers team yeah

Stuckeyi have this closer to a pick so uh happy to back the bucks here but definitely going to wait to see if a three pops and i mean you look at the steelers right they they're they i think they're just a little overvalued in market you got to remember they are three and two but their first game of the year came barely barely by the way against Cooper Rush who was statistically the worst quarterback in the league by far

Stuckeyso far this year they get blown out they two road games they get blown out of New England they lose at the Browns uh on a Thursday night a rare loss for a team facing a first -time head coach on a short week and then you know they get the Colts in this dream spot coming back from overseas and they have extra rest you know their one good performance was at home against Cincy in a coin flip game.

StuckeySo the Bucs have been unlucky. I think the Bucs get this win here at home.

StuckeyEvan, any thoughts there? And where are you going for your favorite bet of the week?

AbramsYeah, I'll answer Doug's question. So first year quarterback against non -first year quarterback last decade at home, 43.8 % straight up, 53 % against the spread. and if you look on the road 26.4 and 50 so you do have a nice three percent delta ats last decade not as much as i thought though but you'll take it uh okay so my bet this week and all the bets i like this week as i was talking to a

Abramsproducer before i got on the show it's just like oh my god you get to this time of year but we're gonna go with the jets uh jets and pats both off wins last week. You look at the injury report, not something you absolutely love.